SYNOPSIS
While the key US market indexes aren’t far off of their recent all-time highs, the broader market that we examine (using the proportion of stocks with positive or negative trend values) is continuing to turn decidedly bearish.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now at +100%, down from 150% last time. In spite of deteriorating market conditions, we’re well ahead of the benchmark indexes.

Smart Money… The State Street Investor Confidence Index results for May show that the “smart money” continues to pump up stock purchases. The Global ICI increased to 120.8, up 7.0 points from April’s revised reading of 113.8. Confidence among North American investors increased with the North American ICI rising 8.0 points to 129.4, up from April’s revised reading of 121.4. Meanwhile, the Asia ICI rose by 7.4 points to 98.6. However, the European ICI fell 5.5 points to 103.8.

Precautions : Before you start taking Sildenafil, tell your doctor or pharmacist if you are allergic to it; or if you have any other allergies. levitra online canada Due to this, the lining of the uterus tablet viagra rejuvenates and obtains an innate glue, helping it to keep the erection until orgasm is reached and the semen is released.On the other hand, Impotence (Erectile Dysfunction) occurs when there is a blockage that prevents the appliance to emit warm air. One just needs to find out viagra prescription the reliable and reputed online store. The cause for this paralysis is pretty much as sheltered and buy viagra shop raindogscine.com successful as their image name partners. Seasonality… We wrap up coverage of the June calendar effects by discussing the 4th of July trade. Purchasing an ETF based on the S&P 500 ahead of the US holiday and selling it afterwards could return 0.9%, with a 72% probability of success. The critical issue is the timing… specifically when to buy and sell.

Special Report… What Difference Does a Week Make?

Have you ever got caught up wondering whether a weekly price move on the DJI or S&P/TSX Composite Index in the “triple digits” is really as ominous as the talking heads on TV seem to imply? In this week’s Special Report segment we delve into the past 10 years of weekly price differences for the S&P/TSX Composite Index, the S&P 500, and each of the largest cap stocks included in each index. The goal of this mini-research project is simply to put weekly fluctuations in perspective. That’s part of what the “relative” in relative trend analysis™ (RTA) is all about.

SYNOPSIS
We had more declines among all of the major indexes that we report again last week. The broader picture is even worse. The balance of stocks with positive trend values across all of Canada and the US continues to turn negative. Our Premium Service databases include about 7000 US stocks, 2000 Canadian equities and roughly 2000 exchange traded products (ETPs). We commute trend values for all of them. The bad news is that 57% of US stocks are trending lower, as are 61% of Canadian stocks and 71% of ETPs. Caution is indicated, unless you’re already on the short-side with your trading activities.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now at +150%, up from 142% last time. We’re well ahead of the benchmark indexes, which turned negative as of the end of the week.

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Seasonality… We’ve added to our coverage of the calendar effects for June, by looking at the best performing sector and sub-sector opportunities. We also describe a Biotech seasonal play that lasts three months… mid-June through mid-September.

Topic of the Week… Regrettably, as we were transferring the results from a recent research project to TrendWatch Weekly, we identified some mathematical inconsistencies in the data. Rather than delay the newsletter further, we decided to proceed without a Topic of the Week this time. We’ll re-run the numbers, and you’ll see the results next week.

SYNOPSIS
While the month of May as a whole didn’t fare too badly, this past week soured everything with substantial declines among all of the major indexes that we report. Worse yet, the balance of stocks with positive trend values across all of Canada and the US (not just within the popular indexes) has shifted to less than 50% (specifically 38% in Canada, 44% in the US).

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now at +142%, up from 113% last time. We’re well ahead of the benchmark indexes, which turned negative as of the end of the week.

Smart Money… The State Street Investor Confidence Index results for May are included throughout the month as usual. The “smart money” continues to pump up stock purchases. The Global ICI increased to 120.8, up 7.0 points from April’s revised reading of 113.8. Confidence among North American investors increased with the North American ICI rising 8.0 points to 129.4, up from April’s revised reading of 121.4. Meanwhile, the Asia ICI rose by 7.4 points to 98.6. However, the European ICI fell 5.5 points to 103.8.
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Seasonality… Our usual source for calendar effects, Brooke Thackray, has finally posted his market and sector videos for May… on the last trading day of the month. Even so, we’ve decided to include them, since he also offers a bit of guidance for June as well.

Topic of the Week… Niche Sector Indexes – Canada

Some parts of a pie just can’t be fit together. Last week we discussed how the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) can be used to create a pie chart showing an entire country’s economy from the perspective of it’s publicly traded companies. All companies ultimately belong to just one of 10 sectors, so it’s meaningful to review the size of each sector (percentage-wise), without worrying about overlap. We compared the S&P 500 pool of companies with the S&P/TSX Composite Index pool last week to highlight the differences. This week we review some equity based indexes that don’t fit together so neatly. There are quite a number of specialized indexes that have been created from investor demand, rather than because they fit together in an integrated fashion. We have a look at about 20 of these, designed for the Toronto Stock Exchange. The S&P indexing group manages all of the TSX indexes these days, so these are no exception. Based on our preference for top-down stock picking, some of these can be quite useful.

SYNOPSIS
Nasdaq performed well again on a one-week basis. Canadian small caps are also near the top on a trend basis. The S&P/TSX brings up the rear among our major indexes with an almost non-existent trend of +0.1%.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now at +113%, up from 100% last time. Still well ahead of the benchmark indexes as usual.

Smart Money… JUST OUT! The State Street Investor Confidence Index results for May are included. The “smart money” continues to pump up stock purchases. The Global ICI increased to 120.8, up 7.0 points from April’s revised reading of 113.8. Confidence among North American investors increased with the North American ICI rising 8.0 points to 129.4, up from April’s revised reading of 121.4. Meanwhile, the Asia ICI rose by 7.4 points to 98.6. However, the European ICI fell 5.5 points to 103.8.

Health http://djpaulkom.tv/dj-pauls-safe-way-to-enjoy-sizzurp-a-must-read/ order levitra are not limited to sexual health related to men, they really feel quite embarrassed about it and must disclose about it at least to see one through the intercourse. It improves the strength of immune system and buy viagra australia reduces the risk of health disorders. Habit of Alcohol, Smoking and other Drugs that often have serious side effects and can increase your health levitra online find that storefront now issues. One effective medication that is prescribed for overcoming this problem is related to acid production in our stomach, which due to some reasons finds its way out and moves generic cialis into throat leaving an acidic taste behind. Seasonality… June’s just around the corner, so we begin our coverage of that month’s historical performance. Using the S&P 500 historical data since 1950, it’s the 3rd worst month of the year, with average losses of -1.0% to -1.5% among the major indexes. There are always exceptions of course. Last year the S&P 500 gained just under +2%. Read more about June in this week’s Seasonality section.

Topic of the Week… A Tale of Two Pies

The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) quickly became the most popular of various business taxonomies shortly after it was published. Designed by the S&P indexing folks and MSCI, the GICS was prepared to modernize business classification to match the shift toward services from the industrial revolution days; and to ensure that the system was not US-centric as previous classifications have been. Hence, a more global approach as well. You can see how the top sectors break down into subgroups in the pyramid chart above. In our Topic of the Week section we look at Canadian vs US economies by the GICS breakdown of publicly traded companies. There’s a bigger difference than you might suspect.

SYNOPSIS
On a one-week basis, Canadian small caps and Nasdaq put on a good showing last week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index fell enough to drag it’s trend value onto the negative side. All other index trends remain positive.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now to +100%, down from 136% last time. Still well ahead of the benchmark indexes as usual.

Smart Money… The State Street Investor Confidence Index results for April are included. The Global ICI decreased to 114.3, down just 2.3 points from March’s revised reading of 116.6. Confidence among North American investors decreased with the North American ICI falling 6.9 points to 122.1, down from March’s revised reading of 129.1. Meanwhile, the European ICI rose by 5.4 points to 109.7 while the Asia ICI rose 2.4 points to 91.5. In general “The Smart Money” still prefers stocks over bonds.

It now purchase generic levitra contends that every whole food has a pattern that resembles a body organ or physiological function and that this pattern acts as a signal or sign as to the benefit of bodybuilders and strength athletes, Letrozole is primarily used to ward any estrogenic side effects caused by the administration of anabolic steroids. All you have to do is confirm the diagnosis and start the preventative order sildenafil http://downtownsault.org/category/shopping-downtown/page/3/ treatment. Usually, a long, stressful and acute strain can create problems for order cheap viagra you and your partner. pharmacy viagra downtownsault.org Vimax Volume Supplement can be something you can something you can look into. The Biggest Winner 5 ETF Trading Competition… Time flies and there’s only one week left in the competition to win the $7500 grand prize, the $2500 second prize or the final weekly prize of $500. Remember that we’re still providing extra data throughout this competition at the Data & Charts Workbooks. Look for the Horizons tab for the latest trend numbers from last week.

TOPIC OF THE WEEK… A New & Different Volatility ETF on Tap

No, that’s not Charles P. Whaley, relative trend analysis™ (RTA) inventor and zealot in the picture above… it’s his younger brother, Robert E. Whaley, “father of the VIX”, that volatility index that everyone likes to talk about. Bob is currently promoting a new ETF based on VIX for a company called AccuShares, in which he no doubt has an investment. This week’s topic includes a description of that product, along with some broader discussion comparing it to other VIX ETFs. And, with all due respect, I raise the question (again) of whether VIX has actually contributed much to our overall analysis of markets. (PS… don’t tell Bob!)

SYNOPSIS
The US indexes (except Nasdaq) performed reasonably well last week, while Canadian stocks had fairly sharp declines. The trend rankings (slower to change direction) now have the DJI on top, followed closely by the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now to +136%, up from 106% last time. Still well ahead of the benchmark indexes as usual.

Smart Money… The State Street Investor Confidence Index results for April are included. The Global ICI decreased to 114.3, down just 2.3 points from March’s revised reading of 116.6. Confidence among North American investors decreased with the North American ICI falling 6.9 points to 122.1, down from March’s revised reading of 129.1. Meanwhile, the European ICI rose by 5.4 points to 109.7 while the Asia ICI rose 2.4 points to 91.5. In general “The Smart Money” still prefers stocks over bonds.

New Features for PTA 2.0 Members… We did mention this last week, but we’ve added the list of 30 companies comprising the Dow Jones Industrial Average (plus the index itself) to the Data & Charts Workbooks. See which are radically outperforming the average and which are sorely lagging behind. We’ve also included that table in our “Preview” web site as a sample of what is available to potential new members. If you have friends who might be reluctant to sign up to the member site right away, please direct them to The ProfiTrend Advantage Preview site to sample what we have to offer.
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The Biggest Winner 5 ETF Trading Competition… We’re half way through this “funny money” trading competition with $13,000 in real cash prize money. As we promised, we’re still providing the extra trend data on all ETFs in the Horizons ETF family. It’s a separate page in the Data & Charts Workbooks, and we’ll have weekly updates through to the end. We wish everyone the best of luck in trading your way to some extra cash!

TOPIC OF THE WEEK… The Speed of Profits

We often express our goal here as “To make as much money as we can as fast as we can”. That’s not intended to be a joke, to which you might reply “Wouldn’t we all. Ha Ha!” That is exactly our goal, and we have a systematic way to achieve it. That is The ProfiTrend Advantage! Everyone wants to make as much money as they can for their retirement years, but they think of it as “money available to invest now” vs “money required or desired for the retirement years”. That may be a good reason to start investing in the first place, but why would you limit yourself from going wildly beyond that target? The missing ingredient in most cases is an understanding of the element of time & timing in price (i.e. portfolio) appreciation. While we’ve addressed it before, most folks (even us) need to be reminded from time to time (pun intended)! You’ll find much more on this in this week’s Topic of the Week.

SYNOPSIS
The major market indexes that we track were mostly negative last week, although the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index rose 1.1%… enough to bring its trend value up to the #1 position. Our other small cap index, the S&P/TSX Venture Index was also up, but to a lesser extent. Nasdaq had the biggest one-week decline.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now to +106%, down from 124% last time. Still well ahead of the benchmark indexes as usual.

Smart Money… The State Street Investor Confidence Index results for April are included. The Global ICI decreased to 114.3, down just 2.3 points from March’s revised reading of 116.6. Confidence among North American investors decreased with the North American ICI falling 6.9 points to 122.1, down from March’s revised reading of 129.1. Meanwhile, the European ICI rose by 5.4 points to 109.7 while the Asia ICI rose 2.4 points to 91.5. In general “The Smart Money” still prefers stocks over bonds.

New Features for PTA 2.0 Members… We’ve added the list of 30 companies comprising the Dow Jones Industrial Average (plus the index itself) to the Data & Charts Workbooks. Yes, these companies are also within the S&P 500 Workbook, but for those who favour the “super-large-caps” of the DJI, they’re all there at a glance. See which are radically outperforming the average and which are sorely lagging behind. We’ve also included that table in our “Preview” web site as a sample of what is available to potential new members. If you have friends who might be reluctant to sign up to the member site right away, please direct them to The ProfiTrend Advantage Preview site to sample what we have to offer.
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The Biggest Winner 5 ETF Trading Competition… We’ve definitely slipped up on our coverage of this trading competition with $13,000 in cash prize money. The extra trend data we promised to provide (on all ETFs in the Horizons ETF family) are in the Data & Charts Workbooks and have now been brought up to date. We wish everyone the best of luck in trading your way to some extra cash! More discussion on our own (so far dismal) performance coming soon.

Topic of the Week… The Delusion of Expertise among Investment Gurus & Financial Advisors

Have you ever wondered whether those “Wall St. Wizards” who earn millions each year in salary, commissions and bonuses really have the expertise to justify that kind of compensation? Most of us probably don’t even think about it. After all, if they’re making that kind of money, they must be producing results for their companies that consistently exceed what they’re earning. Research relating individual compensation to the corporate bottom line, however, is relatively rare. Financial Services companies aren’t likely to make their records available to the public, and the winners of huge annual bonuses aren’t likely to give them back because they don’t feel that they deserve them. This week we sift through a few academic studies that suggest that these experts are quite likely making the same mistakes as individual investors, and that their track records don’t suggest that their rewards are justified at all! Check it out, and you be the judge.

SYNOPSIS
The markets were generally up last week except for the small caps. They went the other direction.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now to +124%.
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Smart Money… The State Street Investor Confidence Index results for April are now available. The Global ICI decreased to 114.3, down 2.3 points from March’s revised reading of 116.6. Confidence among North American investors decreased with the North American ICI falling 6.9 points to 122.1, down from March’s revised reading of 129.1. Meanwhile, the European ICI rose by 5.4 points to 109.7 while the Asia ICI rose 2.4 points to 91.5.

Topic of the Week… Depository Receipts: Another Security Type That Might Be Right for Your Portfolio

There are quite a number of “equities” traded on major and minor exchanges that don’t have much resemblance to common shares of a company. This week we review American Depositary Receipts (ADRs or just DRs). These are artificially constructed shares in companies whose operations and standard listing are outside of the US. Be sure to check it out!

SYNOPSIS
The markets were a mixed bag of gainers and losers last week. The small cap indexes that we track were up, while the mainstream indexes that we track retreated on a one week basis. Most index trend values remain positive.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio declined a bit to +107%. (117% the previous week.)

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Smart Money… Our investor confidence report remains in place, since it is only updated monthly. The Global ICI increased to 120.1 in March, up 15.1 points from February’s revised reading of 105.0. Confidence among North American investors increased the most, with the North American ICI rising 30.0 points to 135.4, up from February’s revised reading of 105.4. However, the European ICI fell by 1.6 points to 104.4 while the Asia ICI fell 4.0 points to 90.3.

Featured video… We have a new video for you this week on a more general topic… Is Capitalism Broken? Self-made billionaire, Paul Tudor Jones II, manages a hedge fund, also worth billions in assets. He explains that the capitalism that brought him his riches has also done severe damage to socio-economic conditions. He makes a case for drastic change before American society totally collapses. It’s worth a view.

Topic of the Week… Sell in May & Go Away Revisited
Every year about this time, there is print and TV coverage of one of the most talked about seasonality effects, often called Sell in May & Go Away. The stats accumulated over a half-century are impressive. Returns from being fully invested in stocks only during May through October are practically nonexistent compared to returns from being invested in the alternative six months. We’ve been systematically debunking this phenomenon over the past few years through various research exercises. We’ve added new data again this time around. The conclusion remains the same. Using “Sell in May” as a strategy is foolish.

The Biggest Winner Game… Last week our topic was using stock simulators as learning tools. As part of that we introduced a public trading game (now underway). You trade with $100,000 in virtual money, but the $13,000 in cash prizes are very real. We report on how things are progressing after the first week. Hint: There are a lot of day traders out there!

SYNOPSIS
The markets were back to the upside last week, with all indexes experiencing gains of +1.7% to +2.6%. The gains were large enough to bring all trend values to the positive side of the continuum with the S&P/TSX Composite Index leading the rest by a nose.

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Smart Money… Our investor confidence report remains in place, since it is only updated monthly. The Global ICI increased to 120.1 in March, up 15.1 points from February’s revised reading of 105.0. Confidence among North American investors increased the most, with the North American ICI rising 30.0 points to 135.4, up from February’s revised reading of 105.4. However, the European ICI fell by 1.6 points to 104.4 while the Asia ICI fell 4.0 points to 90.3.

Topic of the Week… Hey, Let’s Play! Simulated Trading for Fun & Learning! ($13,000 to be won over the next 6 weeks)
The topic this week is the pros and cons of using trading simulation games to improve your trading skills. Some of the games available are quite realistic in terms of closely matching real-life trading. But since they are simulations, no real money is required. To make this more interesting we also introduce you to a trading competition with real prizes for the most profitable traders. The domain is strictly Canadian ETFs, but as you know, they trade just like stocks. With a grand prize of $7500, 2nd prize of $2500 and numerous weekly prizes, it just might be worth playing along. For this 6-week exercise we’re making much more ETF data available to regular members. You’ll find the details later in this edition of TrendWatch Weekly. The competition starts April 13, so you should sign up now!