SYNOPSIS

PTA Perspective… Momentum ETFs – Go with the Flow!
Our mathematical framework, relative trend analysis™ (RTA), is within the category of the momentum investing. Stocks on a winning streak often continue that winning streak relative to stocks that do not. It’s simple and academic research proven. So, it’s interesting to start to see ETFs appearing based on momentum investing. That means that the underlying index starts with a constituent list where all stocks are trending upward. We investigate what that means in terms finding better ETFs, if you’re thus inclined, and being better informed of the implications overall.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) pulled back to 733% this past week from a record 828% a week earlier. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR fell even further to 14%, while the S&P 500 APAR is up to 66% from 58% a week earlier.

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Last Week in the Major Indexes… It was a great week for one-week gains on most of the major indexes with numerous gains of 2% or higher over the week. The laggards continue to be the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index, the S&P/TSX Composite Index and the Russell 2000.

Investor Confidence… The January 2018 results for the State Street Investor Confidence Index have just been posted. This is not an opinion poll. The SSICI is a measure of actual money flows between equities (higher numbers) and safer income securities among institutional investors (the “smart” money). The Global Investor Confidence Index increased to 102.1, up 6.4 points from December’s revised reading of 95.7.

As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly.