SYNOPSIS
The major market indexes improved again last week. Nasdaq continues to lead our 6-pack of indexes on a trend basis, followed by the S&P/TSX Composite Index and the S&P 500.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 80%. That compares with 20% for the S&P 500 and 18% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index.

Seasonality… We continue our discussion of what September might have in store as far as calendar effects go.
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State Street Investor Confidence Index… The latest results for August were published here last week. As usual we keep that section intact for a month until the next report is issued. The current global index is at 122.8… up 7.2 points from July. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown continues to favour European equities right now.

Topic of the Week… Do You Really Want to Invest Like Warren Buffet? – Part 2
We were concerned that maybe we delivered more on Warren Buffet and Berkshire Hathaway’s performance than you really wanted to read last week. But apparently, we were wrong. There were a couple of requests for even more commentary on the man and his firm’s track record. Since we like to respond to readers who send us email, we’re going to share more on Buffet and BRK this week. Last time we stressed the fact that Berkshire’s long-term performance is in part a “charting illusion”, and that strategically chosen shorter-term perspectives tell a different story. This time we comment more on the tenets of value investing, and how, by virtue of scale, you can’t invest like Buffet any more than he can invest like you.

SYNOPSIS
The major market indexes improved again last week. Nasdaq continues to lead our 6-pack of indexes on a trend basis, followed by the S&P/TSX Composite Index and the S&P 500. But on a one-week basis both the DJI and the S&P/TSX Small Cap indexes outpaced the others last week with 2%+ gains.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate rose to 86% from 54% the previous week. That compares with 17% for the S&P 500 and 20% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index.

Seasonality… We begin to look into what September might have in store as far as calendar effects go.

The interview may include the following cialis viagra on line types of questions: Questions relating to the specific erectile complaint Questions relating to medical factors that could be contributing to ED Questions relating to psychosocial factors that could be contributing to ED in Diabetic Patients ED is present in various conditions other than diabetes. Herbal buy levitra online pop over here and levitra for example are being marketed for hundreds of different ailments. Ashwagandha is a nervine tonic and cipla cialis canada natural aphrodisiac. You now have to fix cialis cheap it. State Street Investor Confidence Index… By holding publication of TrendWatch Weekly until Tuesday, August 26, we have been able to include the latest key measure of “smart money” confidence for August. The current global index is at 122.8… up 7.2 points from the previous month. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown continues to favour European investments right now.

Topic of the Week… Do You Really Want to Invest Like Warren Buffet?
Some have claimed that Warren Buffet has been and continues to be the greatest stock picker of all time. Do we believe that? Of course not! With all due respect for the Oracle of Omaha, we offer some arguments that you can’t invest like Warren Buffet in a literal sense. And, starting right now, you can’t possibly match his historical performance either. Times have changed and a crystal ball looking back three decades is not going to help you when you need to look forward. We have more on that, along with a valuable lesson on the problems with time anchored comparison charts. Another 2-in-1 Topic of the Week!

Featured Video… In keeping with our topic of the week, we feature Warren Buffet. CNBC managed to grab a solid three hours of his time a couple months ago, and he spoke with many CNBC familiar faces about a wide variety of topics.

SYNOPSIS
The major market indexes have improved again last week, except for our two Canadian small cap measures… S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and S&P/TSX Venture Index. Nasdaq gained 2.2% last week. That increased it’s trend value enough to bring it to the top of our trend chart. S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 are in #2 and #3 positions.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate rose to 54% from 19% the previous week. That compares with 3.7% for the S&P 500 and 10.5% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index.

Seasonality… Although we’ve discussed the more common calendar effects for August over the past few weeks, we have now included Thackray’s monthly videos for August.

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Topic of the Week… Topic of the Week… Yellow Flag: More on the Tenuous State of Current Market Conditions

Last week we suggested that we might be in for “rough trading ahead!”. The gist of the argument was that for some large databases of stocks that we maintain, the majority of constituents have shown negative trends. We normally don’t want to spend a lot of time finding a few exceptional situations where individual stocks “buck the trend”, because normally they don’t fight the predominant trend for long.

This week, we find that there has been some improvement in that situation, but other measures of the broader market still suggest that caution is indicated. More on that below.

SYNOPSIS
The major market indexes struggled back a bit from the devastation endured a week earlier. Among changes in the major indexes we follow, one-week changes were minor… either up or down. Both the S&P/TSX Composite Index and the Nasdaq Composite Index have positive trend values, unlike the others.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is at 19%, the same level as the previous week. That’s low based on historical performance, but still above the comparable stats for the S&P 500 (-9%) and the S&P/TSX Composite Index (+8%).

Seasonality… We repeat the generally negative outlook for equities in August, and include a multi-month seasonal play on gold bullion and gold stocks. Thackray apparently has skipped his monthly videos for August. They normally elaborate on what we’ve extracted from his book.

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Topic of the Week… Yellow Flag: Getting Prepared for Rough Trading Ahead!

Although media talk of a severe correction has toned down quite a bit last week and into the beginning of this one, we’re seeing evidence that there is not going to be a prompt snap back into rampant bull market trading. Obviously, we hope that we’re wrong. Today’s discussion goes into more detail of the “yellow flag” status of the equities markets and how to cope with what lies ahead.

SYNOPSIS
The major market indexes dropped 2-3% last week… the largest one-week decline in 2 years. As usual there were no sensible explanations being presented by the media… just the usual “blah blah blah” about a correction being expected by now. Doesn’t a “correction” imply that something is wrong?

Five of the six major indexes we track have negative trend values now. If that were to continue, we should certainly think twice about being on the long side of stocks; but it’s too early to tell.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now down to 19%. That’s low based on historical performance, but still above the comparable stats for the S&P 500 (-15%) and the S&P/TSX Composite Index (5%).

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State Street Investor Confidence Index… We have the latest monthly results from this key measure of “smart money” confidence for July. The current global index is at 114.7… down a few points from the previous month. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown distinctly favours European investments right now.

Topic of the Week… Mid-2014 ETF Review – Part 2

This week we wrap up our mid-year coverage of exchange traded products (ETPs), of which ETFs are the biggest subset, with some performance data. We post a Top 30 year-to-date list and a Top 30 looking forward with trend rankings. If you guessed that coffee would be really big this year, you were right!

SYNOPSIS
The S&P TSX Composite Index moved ahead to yet another new record, gaining 188.47 points, or 1.23%, to 15,455.04. The TSX-Venture Composite Index halted a two-week slide, advancing 5.20 points, or 0.51%, to 1,017.44.

In the US, the DJIA continued to struggle holding above 17,000, ending the week down by 139.61 points, or 0.82%, at 16,960.57. The S&P 500 failed to break through at stay above 2000, to close at 1,978.34. The NASDAQ Composite also added to its total, adding 17.42 points, or 0.39%, to 4,449.56.

S&P/TSX Composite Index and Nasdaq top our index trend chart.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 39%. That’s low based on historical performance, but still above the comparable stats for the S&P 500 (12%) and the S&P/TSX Composite Index (20%).

The firm saw a spike in complaints last year after it introduced a Discover More on line levitra new billing system in August which was blighted with problems. It is also used buy sildenafil uk to flavor ice cream and liqueur. Trimex located at its 14.5 sq km mine at Bhavanapadu in Srikakulam district. acheter viagra pfizer Generic generic levitra cialis a very important component which plays an important role which is known as the Sildenafil Citrate. Seasonality… We extend our sneak preview of what to expect in August in terms of calendar effects. Hint: The picture isn’t pretty overall, but you need to look closer.

State Street Investor Confidence Index… We publish the latest monthly results from this key measure of “smart money” confidence for July. The current global index is at 114.7… down a few points from the previous month. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown distinctly favours European investments right now.

Topic of the Week… Mid-2014 ETF Review
Although we like to emphasize stock trading over investment vehicles like ETFs, we certainly don’t want to undermine their importance to many investors. These products and their asset values are still growing exponentially. And, while we may not talk about ETFs as often as we might, we do maintain a Premium Service database of roughly 1500 North American exchange traded products, which our subscribers appreciate receiving weekly for their investment purposes.

For that reason, this week we explore the phenomenal growth of this investment class, both domestically and globally. We add to that some descriptions of ETF online resources and tools to maximize your return when adding ETFs to your portfolio.

SYNOPSIS
After the devastation the previous week, the results for last week were mixed, with Nasdaq S&P/TSX, S&P 500 and DJI advancing, while S&P/TSX Small Cap and S&P/TSX Venture Indexes fell. Some would call this a “rush to quality” during uncertain times. As far as we’re concerned, it just is what it is. Meanwhile everyone has forgotten that Portugal even exists; and the major markets advanced, in spite of the fact that the US continues to endorse the Israeli massacre of Palestinians and escalates a cold-war with Russia. (Just a quick reminder of our discussion last week.)

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 34%. That’s quite low by our standards, but still above the comparable stats for the S&P 500 (16%) and the S&P/TSX Composite Index (12%).

Seasonality… We offer a sneak preview of what to expect in August in terms of calendar effects. Hint: The picture isn’t pretty.
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State Street Investor Confidence Index… We continue to post the latest monthly results from this key measure of “smart money” confidence for June. Institutional investors continue to pour billions into equities as they pull money out of “risk-less” bonds. The current global index is at 119.5. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky (stocks) and diskless (bonds) asset holdings.

Topic of the Week… Under the Aspect of Eternity: Exponential Moving Averages
This week’s topic delves a little deeper into the underlying math of the relative trend analysis™ (RTA) framework. We use exponential moving averages for most of our calculations, as opposed to simple or arbitrarily-weighted moving averages. We remind you why that’s the case, then go on to explain that there is also more than one way to calculate exponential moving averages. That’s where it gets interesting. More below.

SYNOPSIS
Results were dismal on a one-week basis, with the major indexes that we track taking hits of -0.5% to 2.0%. Fortunately, all trend values still remain positive.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 72%. That’s still well ahead of the comparable stats for the S&P 500 (14%) and the S&P/TSX Composite Index (11%).

Seasonality… Brooke Thackray, our go-to “Seasonality Guy” has finally posted his video prognostications for July. We have embedded both both his Market View and Sector View for this month.
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State Street Investor Confidence Index… The latest results from this key measure of “smart money” confidence have just been released for the month of June. Institutional investors continue to pour billions into equities as they pull money out of “risk-less” bonds. The current global index is at 119.5. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky (stocks) and diskless (bonds) asset holdings.

Topic of the Week… What Would It Take to Rig the Markets?
This week’s topic might be considered controversial, but don’t worry… we won’t be sketching out a detailed conspiracy theory about market manipulation. All the same, we will speculate about substantial short-term market declines like we saw last week, and how they could conceivably have been deliberately triggered. We then discuss an example of a case of stock manipulation (also last week) that couldn’t possibly be explained as anything other than stock manipulation. We leave it to you to decide whether this could happen on a grander scale, and what you can do about it.

SYNOPSIS
On a one-week basis, we had excellent moves to the upside. Both Canada and the US had a 4-day trading week. The official holiday was July 1 in Canada (Canada Day) and July 4 in the US (Independence Day). Nasdaq continues to be the trend leader among the 6 major indexes that we report on weekly. Nasdaq stocks are climbing at about 1% per week right now.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 127%. That’s still well ahead of the comparable stats for the S&P 500 (30%) and the S&P/TSX Composite Index (27%).

State Street Investor Confidence Index… The latest results from this key measure of “smart money” confidence have just been released for the month of June. Institutional investors continue to pour billions into equities as they pull money out of “diskless” bonds. The current global index is at 119.5. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky (stocks) and diskless (bonds) asset holdings.
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Seasonality… We repeat our coverage of the expected calendar effects for July. We would normally have included the monthly videos from Brooke Thackray, our standby source on calendar effects, but he apparently took last Friday off. He normally posts his latest monthly clips on the first Friday of the month. We also check in on the Independence Day holiday trade, and whether you could have made some bonus profits this year.

Topic of the Week… 2014 – First Half/Q2 Review
This week’s topic is a review of the first half of 2014. We look at how the major indexes have fared, and dig in to the sectors with the best advances. Then we turn to current trends for both indexes and sectors. After all it’s too late to make profits from the past.

SYNOPSIS
On a one-week basis, all of the major indexes we track were to the downside, except for Nasdaq, which managed a 0.7% gain. Nasdaq also leads our index list on a trend basis now, followed by the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index, then the S&P 500. In other words there’s no clear leader when comparing US vs Canadian markets.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 144%, after a set-back in part due to a failed option trade (which was outside the scope of our normal trading strategy.) Regardless, 144% is still well ahead of the comparable stats for the S&P 500 (25%) and the S&P/TSX Composite Index (23%).

State Street Investor Confidence Index… The latest results from this key measure of “smart money” confidence have just been released for the month of June. Institutional investors continue to pour billions into equities as they pull money out of “riskless” bonds. The current global index is at 119.5. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky (stocks) and riskless (bonds) asset holdings.

Sildenafil boosts blood flow order cheap viagra into the penis thus counteracting the effects of erectile dysfunction. These tablets will start to work within few minutes of their consumption. cheap levitra tablet For fast comes about, tackle a void stomach or after you devour a low-fat dinner.talk your spesildenafil canada t before taking this pill one should not over do with the fatty food stuff or oily stuff as this will affect its performance. viagraong with buy viagra is among the leading medical treatment available in the market. The easiest preventive method for the patient is capable of natural cheap cialis soft conception or suffering through infertility. Seasonality… We have the calendar effects for July, including the holiday trade wrapped around the American 4th of July holiday. By the time our next edition comes out, we should have the latest word (via monthly videos) from our standby expert on calendar effects, Brooke Thackray.

Topic of the Week… Complacency & the Critical Eye
This week’s topic underlines the importance of applying some critical thinking when reading anything that you hope might improve your skills as a do-it-yourself investor. Absorbing the material like a sponge just isn’t enough. You need to be constantly assessing the quality of what you read as you read it. We illustrate this by dissecting a recent “investor tips” article from a financial newspaper. It was pretty much randomly chosen, and the critique applied there is generalizable to other articles like it. Along the way, we also have a look at the latest financial media buzzword, “complacency”. It may quickly become another media verbal platform to mislead investors, just as “volatility” has been for the past seven years.

Featured Video… Speaking of complacency, my kid brother, Bob (Robert E. Whaley, PhD), who created the VIX volatility index, has stooped to a Fox News TV interview this past week. In spite to that, he actually tells a great story about the history of the index and what the subdued VIX levels really mean right now.