SYNOPSIS
Gains continued on most of the major indexes we follow. New record highs on the S&P 500 or DJI still keep popping up on a regular basis. But the Canadian indexes still lag behind.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now at +118%… considerably above the comparable numbers for the S&P/TSX Composite Index (+4%) and the S&P 500 (+33%).

Seasonality… We summarize the US Thanksgiving trade once again, as that holiday is coming up soon. Of all seasonality trades, this is one of the most consistently profittable. Details below.
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State Street Investor Confidence Index… We continue to include the October results. The Global ICI decreased to 115.1 in October, down 8.8 points from September’s revised reading of 123.9. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown shows a reduction in European equity exposure after several months of solid gains there (contrary to media reports).

Topic of the Week… RTA Extension: Intra-Week Trend & Consistency Calculations
One of the core strengths of relative trend analysis™ (RTA), as it is used within the ProfiTrend Advantage framework, is that you can achieve excellent results with only a weekly review of your current holdings and a weekly scan of potential opportunities. For some, that may not be enough, so this week we present a relatively simple but effective way to calculate intra-week adjusted trend and consistency values for the stocks you are tracking or holding. It may be overkill for some of us, but it might come in handy at least on an occasional basis. More detail below.

SYNOPSIS
Last week was generally more subdued than the previous two weeks of exuberance (for US stocks at least). New record highs are appearing again for the DJI and S&P 500.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now at +100%… considerably above the comparable numbers for the S&P/TSX Composite Index (-10%) and the S&P 500 (+40%).

Seasonality… Brooke Thackray, our typical source for calendar effects, is back to posting his monthly videos on YouTube after a two-month absence. We’ve embedded those videos below.
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State Street Investor Confidence Index… We continue to include the October results. The Global ICI decreased to 115.1 in October, down 8.8 points from September’s revised reading of 123.9. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown shows a reduction in European equity exposure after several months of solid gains there (contrary to media reports).

Topic of the Week… A Closer Look at Correction and Rebound
By way of looking closer at the most recent correction and surprisingly robust rebound, we also walk you through an alternative simple charting tool that shows the big picture at a glance.

SYNOPSIS
The major US indexes surged ahead again last week, as did the S&P/TSX Composite (to a lesser degree). Meanwhile Canadian small caps continue to move dramatically lower.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 79%, down considerably from the previous week. That still compares favourably with +28% for the S&P 500 and -10% for the S&P/TSX Composite companies.

Seasonality… We continue our discussion of what November might have in store as far as calendar effects go.
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State Street Investor Confidence Index… We include the October results. The Global ICI decreased to 115.1 in October, down 8.8 points from September’s revised reading of 123.9. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown shows a reduction in European equity exposure after several months of solid gains there (contrary to media reports).

Topic of the Week… Dow Theory Revisited
For fun this week, we decided to revisit one of the earliest forms of technical analysis… Dow Theory. It dates back to editorials written by Charles H. Dow (1851-1902), the first editor of the Wall Street Journal and co-founder of Dow Jones & Company. If this were just an historical oddity, we wouldn’t have bothered with this; but Dow Theory is still widely followed by many analysts today. We run through the basics and try to unravel what Dow Theory is telling us about current market conditions.

SYNOPSIS
Most major indexes were up last week with a terrific rally that started at the end of the previous week. In spite of great one-week results, however, most of the indexes we track here are still trending lower… especially the S&P/TSX Venture Index.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate (AGR) is now at 219%, still very high given recent events. That compares with +12% for the S&P 500 and -15% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index! Although we’d like to believe otherwise, we suspect that the PTP “speed” will slow down somewhat. With a very small portfolio, such as we have right now, and very short holding times in some instances, the annualized results for the PTP are susceptible to greater weekly swings. All the same the math is correct, and the same that is applied to the major benchmarks.

Seasonality… We continue our discussion of what November has in store as far as calendar effects go.
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State Street Investor Confidence Index… We include the just-released October results. The current global index fell to 115.1 in October, down 8.8 points from September’s revised reading of 123.9. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown continues to favour European equities, although that is the geographic region that fell the most this month. It’s still quite remarkable, that up until now “the smart money” has been devouring European equities, while virtually everyone else has been selling like crazy.

Topic of the Week… Back into the Neutral Zone
We continue to monitor the “correction”, and what now might be a recovery to the upside. The proportion of equities that have positive trend values is now in what we call a “neutral zone” (40% – 60%). We discuss what investors might do now, while waiting for a breakout up or back down in the weeks ahead.

SYNOPSIS
Most major indexes were down last week in spite of the nice Friday rally. The trends for Canadian small caps (S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and S&P/TSX Venture Index) remain extremely negative. You won’t see any positive trend values at all in our weekly chart.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 282%, blowing out any previous record we’ve ever had. That compares with -32% for the S&P 500 and -42% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index! How can that be possible??? Well, it probably won’t last for long, but we’ll explain it to you below. Weird things can happen when you’re mostly in cash, and playing both the upside and downside in equities.

Seasonality… We continue our discussion of what October and November has in store as far as calendar effects go.

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Topic of the Week… So, What Do We Do Now?
This week we stick with a general chat session about today’s markets, which are still clearly tilted down, down, down… in spite of last Friday’s bounce and some follow-through on Monday and Tuesday. It takes more than a couple happy days to reverse a 10+ week trend. We’ll talk about alternative strategies for situations like this, including going long and short at the same time. It doesn’t always mean that one cancels out the other.

Featured Video… Bob Janjuah, senior independent client adviser at Nomura International Plc. Janjuah argues for more downside ahead… perhaps 15-20%. Check it the interview, and see if you find his arguments compelling (or not).

SYNOPSIS
All major indexes ended lower again last week. The trends for Canadian small caps (S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and S&P/TSX Venture Index) remain extremely negative. Even Nasdaq is now faltering.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 32%, down from the previous week. But that compares with -42% for the S&P 500 and -59% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index!

Seasonality… We continue our discussion of what October and November has in store as far as calendar effects go.
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State Street Investor Confidence Index… We include the September results once again. The current global index up to 123.9 in September, up 3.8 points from August’s revised reading of 120.1. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown continues to favour European equities, contrary to popular opinion. Note that the overall numbers run contrary to everything you’ll see below in terms of the shorter-term outlook.

Topic of the Week… 2014 – Q3 Review – Part 2

Following up on reader requests, we have more coverage of Q3 results. It appears that some of you would have preferred to see individual quarters addressed separately, as opposed to the year-to-date format we prefer to use. That’s fine. We’re happy to oblige. In fact we’ve prepared separate charts isolating each of the first three quarters. It’s a good reminder how relative performance can change across broad indexes, sector indexes and US vs Canada vs globally.

SYNOPSIS
All major indexes ended lower last week. The trends for Canadian small caps (S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and S&P/TSX Venture Index) remain negative. Nasdaq continues to perform best within our six-pack of benchmarks.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 46%, up a point from the previous week. That compares with -11% for the S&P 500 and -37% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index.

Seasonality… We continue our discussion of what October has in store as far as calendar effects go.

In the gallbladder, http://cute-n-tiny.com/cute-animals/abandoned-red-panda-cubs-adopted-by-a-dog/ levitra price bile is concentrated in the five times. Results show that pulsatile tinnitus caused more problems to price of viagra 100mg its patients than continuous tinnitus. Cures are possible with hormone replacement tadalafil generic viagra therapy, surgery, penile implant, vacuum devices, injection, rings, male-enhancing pills etc. This physical pressure cialis 5mg generika disrupts the nerve’s function causing pain, tingling, numbness or weakness. State Street Investor Confidence Index… We include the very recent September results. The current global index up to 123.9 in September, up 3.8 points from August’s revised reading of 120.1. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown continues to favour European equities, contrary to popular opinion. Note that the overall numbers run contrary to everything you’ll see below in terms of the shorter-term outlook.

Featured Video… Most of us either love or hate CNBC’s Jim Cramer’s Mad Money show. I guess I fall into the “contempt” camp; but mostly because of his bullshit, bells and whistles, presentation, as opposed to whatever research he may have done before offering his recommendations. Regardless, the man has a following, and he can talk fast. This week’s video has him covering about ½ dozen different topics in about 60 seconds. You may have to replay it a few times. And, it’s up to you to decide whether he’s making any sense!

Topic of the Week… 2014 – Q3 Review

It’s time to check in with the latest quarterly data, as September closed out Q3. The year-to-date results aren’t appalling by any means, but the trend picture going into Q4 is dismal. Lot’s more on that below.

SYNOPSIS
All major indexes ended lower last week. The trends for Canadian small caps (S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and S&P/TSX Venture Index) remain negative. Nasdaq continue to perform best within our six-pack of benchmarks.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 45%, down four points from the previous week. That compares with -10% for the S&P 500 and -32% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index.

Seasonality… We begin a discussion of what October has in store as far as calendar effects go.
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State Street Investor Confidence Index… We include the September results which are just in. The current global index up to 123.9 in September, up 3.8 points from August’s revised reading of 120.1. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown continues to favour European equities, contrary to popular opinion. Note that this runs contrary to everything you’ll see below in terms of shorter-term outlook.

Topic of the Week… Is Shorting Stocks Part of Your Investment Strategy? Maybe It Should Be!

As the majority of stocks are now trending lower, it’s time once again to ask yourself this question… “Do I stay in cash on the sidelines, or do I try to profit from some consistent downward trends?” We review the process, the risks and the rewards of selling other people’s stocks now and replacing them them back at a lower price if current trends continue.

SYNOPSIS
All major indexes ended lower last week. The trends for Canadian small caps (S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and S&P/TSX Venture Index) remain negative. Nasdaq continue to perform best within our six-pack of benchmarks.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 77%, down just one point from the previous report. That compares with just 4% for the S&P 500 and -5% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index.

Seasonality… We continue to include our discussion of what September has in store as far as calendar effects go. We’ll start discussing October and beyond in our next issue.

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Featured Video… S&P Capital IQ Chief Equity Strategist Sam Stovall discusses why he’s bullish on the S&P 500.

Topic of the Week… The Mobile Trader: Apps for the Road
For many of us our tracking and analysis of our investments is a big-screen process. The more information that can be provided on one “page” the better. But let’s face it. Lots of us are also on the go for part of every trading day. That doesn’t mean that we need to leave our “trading lives” at home. There are lots of smartphone and tablet apps that allow us to monitor and trade our accounts while computing, taking a coffee break or waiting for an appointment. This week we look at some of those, with a longer term goal of setting up a traders’ tools page at the web site. We’re interested in your feedback on the recommendations we offer today, and hope that you’ll tell us about your favourite apps too.

SYNOPSIS
Canadian stocks declined last week, while US equities continued to show (albeit modest) gains. September is normally the worst month of the year statistically, but there are always exceptions.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our PTP annualized growth rate is now at 78%, down just a touch from the previous report. That compares with 21% for the S&P 500 and just 7% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index.

Seasonality… We continue our discussion of what September might have in store as far as calendar effects go.
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State Street Investor Confidence Index… The latest results for August were published here two weeks ago. As usual we keep that section intact for a month until the next report is issued. The current global index is at 122.8… up 7.2 points from July. 100 is considered the neutral point in the balance between risky assets (i.e. stocks) and low risk assets (i.e. bonds). The regional breakdown continues to favour European equities right now.

Topic of the Week… Sell in May and Go Away – Interim Report Card 2014
Over the last month or two, we’ve experienced more buying than selling in the ProfiTrend Portfolio, so we thought that it might be a good idea to objectively review whether the “Sell in May and Go Away” tactic may be valid this year. Our conclusions (with 1½ moths to go in the “worst 6 months” time period) aren’t so bad at all. We’re still net positive as you’ll see below.