2016 Year End Review – Part 2 – Global Perspective

SYNOPSIS

There’s an old saying that “as goes the first week of the year, so goes the month”. There’s another one that says “as goes January, so goes the year”. In recent years these indicators haven’t had a great track record, but let’s accept the gains in the first week of January 2017 for what they’re worth. Hopefully it’s an omen! There is no volatility (as measured by the VIX), and so far, continuing optimism that Trump might just deliver on at least a few of his election promises… the good ones, not the retarded ones!

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose last week after several weeks of declines. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR at 33%; and the S&P 500 APAR at 26%.

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There are lots of people in this world who are unaware of such natural methods and tend to suffer from ED viagra 100mg sildenafil in silence. The programs provide a comprehensive and holistic treatment that supports the value of levitra prescription levitra an early start, mainly for kids with disabilities or for kids at risk. It will lessen the separations between the persons and make them closer to one another. sildenafil generic viagra downtownsault.org can help you to give an energy to accomplish effective adoration movement and give you a delightful minutes. One can simply choose an alternative on premise of taste, age and preference. soft cialis Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, all of the major indexes indexes we track were higher last week. The Canadian small cap indexes performed well enough to put both the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and the S&P/TSX Venture Index in the #1 and #2 positions in the index trend rankings. US small caps as measured by the Russell 2000 came in at #3.

PTA Perspective… 2016 Year End Review – Part 2 – Global Perspective

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This is Part 2 of our 2016 annual review of equity performance… this time focussing on global markets. Our report last week was generally positive of North American equities in 2016, but how do they stack up against markets in Europe, Asia and elsewhere? Spoiler alert: Canada rules! …except for Brazil and maybe Thailand.

2016 Year End Review

SYNOPSIS

With a few exceptions, the last week of the year was pretty lame. But that hid the gains we’ve seen over the past few months, taking many indexes to all time highs over and over again. The Dow Jones Industrials didn’t break through 20,000 yet, but that may be just around the corner.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) retreated again last week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR fell to 26%; and the S&P 500 APAR dropped by half to 12%.

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Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, most of the major indexes were lower last week. Our Canadian small cap indexes were a notable exception. The S&P/TSX Venture Index rose 4.7% last week.

PTA Perspective… 2016 Year End Review

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It’s Report Card time for 2016! All in all it was a pretty good year, although much of the gain happened toward year end. This is not unusual, however, since the seasonally best performing six months of the year (on average) begins November 1 and extends through the end of April. We have lots of charts to break that down this week.

New Year, New Opportunities: Getting Started in 2017

SYNOPSIS
The markets are still moving up and volatility is virtually non-existent, if VIX is your volatility gauge. The markets were fairly quiet (i.e. low volume) moving into the Christmas weekend.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) pulled back to 85% last week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR fell to 27%; and the S&P 500 APAR was lower as well at 26%. The decline in the PTP “speed of making money” score was mainly due to the sale of one our most profitable positions (+77% over 20 weeks). All good things come to an end, when a sell signal is triggered. We’ll be looking to our newer holdings to take up the slack and boost our score higher once again.

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Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, most of the major indexes were up slightly last week. The Russell 2000 still has the leading spot in the trend rankings of the major indexes we track.
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Investor Confidence… As usual we’ve waited until Tuesday to distribute this edition of TrendWatch Weekly, so that we can include the (4th Tuesday) monthly results of the State Street Investor Confidence Index report. This month (December) the Global ICI decreased to 94.2, down 3.4 points from November’s revised reading of 97.6. We have the regional results with their historical patterns as well. The European outlook is more upbeat that what what we’re seeing for North America.

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We like to remind you that this is not just a survey. The SSICI Global Index and the Regional Indexes reported in the full edition are based on actual money flows controlled by institutional investors… between stocks (higher risk) and bonds (lower risk). 100 (where we are now) is the neutral point.

PTA Perspective… New Year, New Opportunities: Getting Started in 2017
Year-end is a great time to review your trading success for 2016, and start to think about what you might do differently in 2017. This is especially true for anyone who hasn’t easily outperformed the major indexes like the S&P 500 or the S&P/TSX Composite Index over the past 12 months. This week we offer some tips on conducting your track record assessment, and offer some guidance on making improvements during the year ahead.

Best of TrendWatch Weekly: Do You Really Want to Invest Like Warren Buffet? Parts 1 & 2

SYNOPSIS
The markets are still moving up and volatility is virtually non-existent, if VIX is your volatility gauge. We’re in a great time from a seasonality perspective, and the infamous Santa Claus Rally may be already underway.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) pulled back to 208% from 259% last week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR fell to 28%; and the S&P 500 APAR was also considerably lower at 31%. We turned active again last week, selling two holdings from the PTP and adding five more.

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Weight loss is a no big deal with an filter, then it’s time overnight levitra to think again. Kamagra also treats the sexual disorders in the viagra on line bought this women. Dosage : For most patients, the icks.org cialis samples recommended dose is 50 mg but it varies on individual characteristic. Natural sleep aids can treat both secondary and transient insomnia, but it might not work or might be dangerous if you: Take nitrate drugs – commonly prescribed for chest pain (angina) – such as nitroglycerin for angina, as it may lead to a severe drop levitra vardenafil generic in blood pressure. Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, most of the major indexes retreated last week… actually with the DJIA being the only exception with a 0.4% gain. While the Russell 2000 retreated 1.7% last week, it still has the leading spot in the trend rankings.

PTA Perspective… Best of TrendWatch Weekly: Do You Really Want to Invest Like Warren Buffet? Parts 1 & 2

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One of the problems with having a continuous stream of new subscribers coming onboard is that we’d like our new folks to catch up with the rest of us, while avoiding too much repetition for long-time subscribers. Sometimes we simply put a new spin on an old topic; but in that process, we sometimes lose a lot of the best parts of the previous coverage. To remedy this we are going to occasionally reprint previous editions that even precede the TrendWatch Weekly archives available to all members at the web site. This week we’ve retrieved our two-part series that reveals that the “Buffet Way” to riches is largely a myth. While value-based investing worked fairly well a century ago, we argue that it is far from an optimal approach for the 21st century. We argue further that Buffet no longer practices value investing anyway.

Did You Know That There’s a Canadian Securities Exchange? Do You Care?

SYNOPSIS

We keep repeating it, but the major US indexes are still hitting new record levels, while volatility remains incredibly low.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) pulled back to 259% from 306% last week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR rose to 38%; but the S&P 500 APAR jumped up to 47% from 18% last time. We sold one stock from the PTP last week.

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Some of them are mellow in nature while some are viagra online delivery exceptionally extraordinary in nature. One of the medicines useful in treating sunburn, removing tan the buy levitra and lightening skin, treating acne, and reducing dark spots and patches. Primarily, estrogen is the hormone responsible for libido lowest prices on viagra in women is often accompanied by several other sexual problems. Presently, the researches prove that physical factors are mainly responsible for best viagra prices quickening the aging process. Last Week in the Indexes… All the major indexes we track were up last week, except for the S&P/TSX Venture Index, which fell a minuscule -0.1%. The Russell 2000 US small cap index leaped +5.6% over the week, after losing -2.4% the week earlier. It maintains it’s spot at the top of the index trend rankings.

PTA Perspective… Did You Know That There’s a Canadian Securities Exchange? Do You Care?

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Most people know of the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and the Toronto Venture Exchange (VEN). Both are managed by TMX Group. But how many of you know about the Canadian Securities Exchange (CSE)? This smaller player bills itself as “The Exchange for Entrepreneurs”. It’s constituents are micro-caps… mostly tiny companies that can’t get a listing on the S&P/TSX Venture Exchange, let alone the S&P/TSX Composite. This week we tell you all about it, so that you can decide for yourselves whether you’d consider taking a chance investing in companies that small.

Just the Numbers Folks!

SYNOPSIS

Apologies for this week’s late delivery of the newsletter and the lack of a lengthy PTA Perspective or PTA Research section. As much as we try to prepare for publishing our weekly updates while travelling, we inevitably run into some technical glitches. Everything should be back to normal next week.

As for the basic summary, the major US indexes are still close to record levels, while volatility remains incredibly low.

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PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) pulled back a bit to 306% from 388% last week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR rose to 33%; but the S&P 500 APAR pulled back to 18% from 39% last time. There was no trading in the PTP last week.

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Last Week in the Indexes… Results were definitely mixed. On a one-week basis both the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq fell about 2.5%, while the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and the S&P/TSX Venture Index rose about the same amount.

Buy Low, Stay High! Are Cannabis Stocks Right for You?

SYNOPSIS

We had more follow through to the upside last week, as all of the major US indexes — Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, Russell 2000, and Nasdaq Composite Index — hit at least intra-day all time highs or closing highs. (VIX-vased) Volatility is almost non-existent again, so there is little to suggest that we haven’t moved back to standard bullish conditions.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) pulled back a bit to 388% from 438% last week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR rose to 25%; and the S&P 500 APAR continued to rise as well… to 39%. We added five new stocks to the ProfiTrend Portfolio and dropped two.

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Last Week in the Indexes… All of the major indexes we track were up less week except the S&P/TSX Venture Index. It’s interesting how the US small caps, led by the trend-leading Russell 2000 have left the S&P/TSX Venture Index (also small caps) at the bottom of our index trend rankings.

Seasonality… The Thanksgiving Trade
It is important to be wise online levitra canada in finding brain pills which is totally free from caffeine. Your physician may restrict you to follow this solution if generic tadalafil tablets he is searching for a remedy that can heal most of the annoying health concerns. This technology locates the infected area with pinpoint accuracy. order viagra from canada It can provide protection to the hepatic ordering viagra without prescription parenchyma, thereby adding extra layer of protection to this organ. So, did it play out with the 85% regularity that it was supposed to? Yes! Both the S&P 500 and DJIA were up on both the day before and the day after US Thanksgiving. +0.08% and +0.39% on Wednesday for S&P and DJIA respectively, and +0.31% and +0.36% on the half day of trading on Friday. These are indeed small gains unless you put a lot of money or some leverage to work, but with the odds so much in one’s favour, why not do something to reel in some cash? We played it two ways… by buying all the stocks that we were going to buy anyway late on Tuesday afternoon, and placing a simple double-or-nothing bet at a binary options web site. Just remember that your return should be normalized to determine your success. So even a small capital gain can really mushroom on an annualized basis, since your money is only tied up for two days! A 100% profit over two days (as per our two-day bet) works out to 125 X 100% = 12,500% annualized (based on roughly 250 trading days per year)!

Investor Confidence… As usual we’ve waited until Tuesday to distribute this notice and the full edition, so that we can include the (4th Tuesday) monthly results of the State Street Investor Confidence Index report. In November the Global ICI decreased just slightly to 98.9, down 0.3 points from October’s revised reading of 99.2. The “smart money” is apparently in “wait and see” mode after the US election.

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We like to remind you that this is not just a survey. The SSICI Global Index and the Regional Indexes reported in the full edition are based on actual money flows among institutional investors… between stocks (higher risk) and bonds (lower risk). 100 (where we are now) is the neutral point.

PTA Perspective… Buy Low, Stay High! Are Cannabis Stocks Right for You?

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We gave you a heads up last week that we had added another list of stocks to the Data & Charts Workbooks with the usual data updated every weekend. This is an experiment in how our ProfiTrend Advantage approach can be focussed on a niche market that may look promising… cannabis stocks. It is being included now as an educational exercise, because we still don’t know if or when this market may evolve from (almost) all micro-caps to including some small-caps, mid-caps and beyond. It’s super high risk for investors right now, and the volatility of individual stocks means that there will be wild price swings, which require a strong stomach and daily monitoring. But, whether you participate or not, it should be a great learning experience to watch this mini-industry over time from a winners-and-losers perspective. More detail in the full edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

Some Thoughts on Indexes

SYNOPSIS

The markets were well behaved again this past week, but we’re feeling even less convinced that the Trump victory has had anything to do with current bullishness. To be sure, some sectors and sub-sectors have received a boost from Trump’s election promises, but he is suddenly getting wishy-washy on many of those promises. There was a beautiful parody of this on SNL this past weekend. That aside, volatility (as measured by VIX) has been well below average this past week and may continue to drift lower.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose from an already high 249% previously to 438% last week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR rose to 13% from -20% previously; and the S&P 500 APAR continued to rise as well… to 25% from 16% in our last report. A prime contributor to our PTP performance is a rapid increase in the price of cannabis stocks… something we’ve been discussing from time to time, especially since many more US states have legalized sales of marijuana in the November 8 election.

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Last Week in the Indexes… All of the major indexes we track were up less week. The strong surge in the performance of US small caps (captured by the Russell 2000) over the past two weeks is somewhat difficult to explain, but the Russell 2000 leads our trend rankings again this week.
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Seasonality… The Thanksgiving Trade
Profits can be made with 80-85% regularity by simply holding stocks for the day before and after each of three US holidays (when the markets are closed). US Thanksgiving is the opportunity this week… returning 0.7% on average over the day before and the day after. Yes, you hold your investment for only two calendar days (three by the calendar). Buy what you want on Tuesday near the close, but be prepared to sell Friday near the close. The historical data is based on the S&P 500, but if you pick an investment that is performing better than the S&P 500 most of the time, that could improve your return even more. We have more to say about this in the full edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… Some Thoughts on Indexes

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This week’s topic is stock indexes. We discuss why stock market indexes can be important to you, and when they can sometimes be a pain in the ass. We talk about the indexes that seem to matter most to the media and why; and the reasons why other, perhaps more useful indexes, are ignored. Finally we bring it all back to the ProfiTrend Advantage.

US Election Week: Post Mortem!

SYNOPSIS

Finally, it’s over! Or is it? A Clinton victory would have signalled business as usual. After all, the Obama legacy would have lived on, whether you liked it or not. But a Trump win is a different story. We now face the prospect of a loose cannon in the White House with no political experience, in charge of a country with the world’s largest military and the world’s biggest debt. All the same US stocks rose nicely last week, and we’re not complaining about that.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose from 36% to 249% last week. No complaints there! The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR declined to -20% from -11% previously; but the S&P 500 APAR swung from -24% to +16% over the past election week! So, how did we pull off the outstanding gain in the PTP? Well, you’ll have to read the full edition of TrendWatch Weekly to find out.

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PTA Perspective… US Election Week: Post Mortem!

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Let’s not forget that before the US election, up to the previous Friday, the S&P 500 has been down for 9 days in a row… the first time that’s happened in 36 years (1980). The “fear gauge”, CBOE’s VIX, had been up 9 days in a row. The combination of the two stats had never occurred before in all of trading history. And, by just about every gauge you could find, the stock markets had been grossly oversold. So, do we give the Trump win credit for the rally last week? We don’t think so, but still, a Clinton win was supposedly “baked in” to stock prices on Monday and Tuesday, so a continuing rally on Wednesday was a shocker! By all logical arguments the DJI should have dropped around 1000 points at the open Wednesday morning, based on overnight futures trading results, after it became official that Trump had won. Something very strange happened in the four hours between Trump’s acceptance speech and the market open at 9:30am.

US Election Week: Are You Ready for the Fallout?

SYNOPSIS

New records have been set during this pre-election period, and they’re definitely not good for investors. As of Friday, the S&P 500 has been down for 9 days in a row… the first time that’s happened in 36 years (1980). If you’ve been following the “fear gauge”, CBOE’s VIX, that has been up 9 days in a row. The combination of the two stats has never occurred before in all of trading history. The fear is obviously related to the remote possibility that Trump might win. That is indeed a terrifying prospect.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) held steady last week at 36%. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR declined from near zero to -11% this past week. Meanwhile the S&P 500 APAR dropped way further, from -11% last week to -24% based on last week’s data.

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Last Week in the Indexes… All one-week results for the major indexes that we track were negative last week from -1.5% to -3%! All trend values are negative.

PTA Perspective… US Election Week: Are You Ready for the Fallout?
Since the US election will overshadow any other news worldwide, we’ve decided to get this edition of TrendWatch Weekly out early (Sunday, rather than our usual Monday target). Perhaps something in this week’s discussion of investor implications for the election outcome will spur some action on Monday or Tuesday (yes the US markets are open on Election Day). Perhaps not. As you know relative trend analysis™ (RTA) usually guides us to the most appropriate portfolio stance all year around, so this week shouldn’t be an exception. Or is it? In the full edition we hit on a number of election-related topics, so we hope that you read it ASAP. It could have an impact on what you see happen in your portfolio on Wednesday morning and throughout the rest of the week and beyond.