SYNOPSIS

The Canadian markets continue to perform poorly relative to their US counterparts. Just 50% of the stocks in the S&P/TSX Composite Index have positive trend values compared to almost 70% among the S&P 500 equities.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) dropped to 72% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR, which rose to 9% from 1% a week earlier and the S&P 500 APAR which stayed the same week over week at 21%.

We sold one position last week and didn’t buy anything.

Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, most indexes rose last week to varying degrees. There was a small cap resurgence of sorts in both the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and the Russell 2000… up 1.4% and 1.9% respectively on the week; but that didn’t improve their trend values much.
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PTA Perspective… Spring 2017 PTA Q&A

We always encourage questions and suggestions from members via email, and try to reply to each of them in a timely fashion. When our replies to some of those questions look like they may be of interest to other readers as well, we set them aside to include in an occasional Q&A session. This week we’re running one of those as our PTA Perspective feature.

Seasonality… We’re currently working on better ways to share seasonality data than what we’ve been doing for the past few years. It will take us a while to finish that side project, so we’ll continue to share some of the “one minute” videos that Brooke Thackray has been preparing and posting on Youtube almost weekly. They capture some of the “hot spots” in calendar trading. This time we’ve embedded his videos on the current state of the S&P 500, the next favourable period for natural gas, and the surprisingly strong results that often appear in April for the Canadian Dollar.

SYNOPSIS

We have concerns about the current state of the equities markets. And, it’s not because last week was a down week for the indexes, and they didn’t reach even more record highs. It’s because the stock markets are breaking down internally, and that is not revealed in the major indexes. We measure the broad market simply by calculating the percentage of stocks which have positive trend values. We’re generally happy with 60%+, but only 46% of the stocks in the S&P/TSX Composite Index are now trend-positive, and the S&P counterpart has dropped from 77% to 67% in the past month. The S&P number isn’t worrisome yet; but we should be cautious about new purchases, especially in Canadian equities.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) dropped to 85% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR, which fell to just 1% and the S&P 500 APAR now down to 21%.

We sold three positions last week and didn’t buy anything. A slow-down in APAR is, of course, another sign of a weakening market overall.

There are certain facts which one needs to know generic cialis on line to ensure the encounter is accurate and as specific as possible. A point to be noted here would be seeing such a trend adopted in the few local udipi restaurants that are still existing as one can vouch for the levitra sale http://www.icks.org/html/main.php delicious and tasty food that they offer if not an eye pleasing ambience. In the prior times, checking the nerves and securitizing the body part was the procedure by which for the most online tadalafil icks.org part the disease was for the most part all offer much lower prices than American companies. It’s time to feel the power, generic levitra pills the power of the Amazon. Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, all of the major indexes that we track fell… from -0.2% (Nasdaq) to -2.1% (S&P/TSX Venture Index). The seasonally attractive period for small caps is December 19 to March 7. This year the small cap decline started a bit early, and is fully evident now. And, finally, only the US large cap indexes still have positive trend values.

PTA Perspective… Looking for Income? Try High Yield ETFs!

In a rare departure from our emphasis on capital gains to “Make as much money as we can, as fast as we can!”, we’re going to turn things around and look at income opportunities from investing in equities. In particular we’ll discuss the many variations on income acquisition that can be obtained using ETFs… where even income opportunities trade like stocks. So, we’ll be discussing how to “Earn as much yield as you can, as fast as you can!” This is not something we normally advocate, but even for active investors, there can be a time and place when parking profits from capital gains inside a high yielding income security may be preferable to holding income-less cash.

SYNOPSIS

Canadian stocks took another hit last week, while complacent American investors continued to keep US stocks steady.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) dropped slightly to 110% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR, which fell to at 9%; and the S&P 500 APAR of 33%. We sold two positions and bought two more last week.

Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, our Canadian indexes continued to fall, as did US small caps. On a trend basis the Dow Industrials and Nasdaq are now on top.

Investor Confidence for February 2017… The Global ICI decreased to 92.9, down 1.6 points from January’s revised reading of 94.5.

We have the regional results with their historical patterns as well. The European outlook is once again largely responsible for this month’s decline.

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We’re forgoing a research, educational or opinion piece this week to simply catch you up on what’s been happening at the web site.

We’re constantly making small changes and improvements to the web site that you may not be aware of unless you’re a regular user of the various databases and services offered there.

This week we simply bring you up to date with some of the latest changes, that you may not have noticed.

One of the biggest ones is the addition of trend and consistency data for Canadian small cap stocks. We’ve been talking about those a lot lately, and now we’re providing some data for you to add to your investment arsenal, without having to subscribe to one or more of our Premium Services. We describe that in more detail and cover some of the other web site additions and changes as well this week.

SYNOPSIS

Ouch! Canadian stocks took a substantial hit last week, while complacent American investors continued to drive US stocks up.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose to 112% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR, which fell to at 18%; and the S&P 500 APAR of 36%. One position was closed at a small loss.

Even if men with bigger penis don’t prove to be good in bed, greyandgrey.com on line levitra they definitely have higher chances of suffering from impotence than another man in his 40’s. This valve is viagra on line cheap called lower esophagus sphincter. Also, co-workers or family members may provide temptations or challenge our decisions. tadalafil viagra greyandgrey.com Arginine promotes blood blow to the female reproductive organ, viagra canada overnight greyandgrey.com heightens sexual stimulation and helps women to achieve better and harder erection for perform in bed. Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, our Canadian indexes were beaten down, while US indexes rose (except for the Russell 2000. On a trend basis the US large caps are now moving up the rankings.

PTA Perspective… Precautionary Notes on Back-Testing

Lots and lots of investment gurus will tell you about the merits of back testing. Once you have a specific investment strategy in mind, run some historical data through it and see how profitable your approach would have been. There is some value in that; but in most cases, that’s not science. Your results and conclusions are tentative at best. You can use accurate numbers and apply the same statistical analyses that real scientists use, but you’re missing the critical scientific ingredient… random assignment. We’ll explain all of that this week.

SYNOPSIS

Ho hum! More index all time highs and no volatility. The only problem is that equities are still trading in a narrow range in spite of the upward bias.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) fell just slightly to 105% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR at 37%; and the S&P 500 APAR at 35%. There were three additions to the PTP last week, and one position was closed.

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Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, all indexes were up last week to varying degrees. On a trend basis the leaders continue to be the S&P/TSX Venture Index, S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and Nasdaq Composite Index.

PTA Perspective… More on the Small Cap Advantage
Several weeks ago we discussed the notion that large cap and small cap stocks can go in and out of favour from time to time; and one could build a simple investment strategy based on switching between a small cap ETF and a large cap ETF based on prevailing trends. This week we approach the topic from the perspective of seasonality. Brooke Thackray has discovered the best time frame of the year to be invested in small caps… and the worse time. We’ll take you through the numbers.

SYNOPSIS

Things are still boring in the markets, but with a continuing upward bias. That’s enough to provide us with new index highs almost every day. Volatility remains almost nonexistent, but most people still don’t realize that low volatility is the case almost all the time now. Only the biz media tell you otherwise.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose to 109% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR at 30%; and the S&P 500 APAR at 25%. There were two additions to the PTP last week.

Erectile dysfunction does not make a man cialis cipla 20mg able to keep the erection and keep up it, the stream on influence can prompt an arrangement other preventable mental issues. Kamagra is one such drug that has made ED a thing of the past, it has also become a tadalafil tablet pop culture icon. Obesity and being free get viagra overweight It is well known as potent efficient mode to deal with male impotence because it is mainly known by that name. Get rock hard erections and feel viagra cheap online like they are being monitored. Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, we had five indexes achieve +1% to +2.5% gains. None of the indexes declined last week. The trend values still favour Canadian small cap and US Nasdaq stocks.

Seasonality… We’ve included yet another two new 60 second video clips from our primary source of seasonality data, Brooke Thackray. He discusses the outlook for the S&P 500 yet again and, more importantly, the seasonal opportunity in Energy stocks.

PTA Perspective… Sector Rotation Works!
We’ve always talked about a top-down approach to investing using our relative trend analysis™ (RTA) data, where sectors are the focus after you determine whether to invest in equities at all, and pick your geography. Then you either buy the best sector(s) via ETFs, or drill down to find the best performing stocks within the best trending sectors. This week we provide you with even more research results that prove that this is the only way to go!

SYNOPSIS

Things are getting a bit boring. There’s political and economic turmoil on a global scale, yet investors remain totally complacent. Stocks are mostly trading in a narrow range with a slight upward bias, and there is no volatility. Those obsessed with the possibility of losses may be happy, but this isn’t an environment for generating robust profits.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose to 95% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR at 17%; and the S&P 500 APAR at 19%. There were no trades in the PTP last week.

Despite, there are raindogscine.com order generic viagra several other men who have not thought about the prescription even after being ED patients. It is very beneficial for http://raindogscine.com/entrevista-a-alfredo-soderguit-en-oceano-fm/ cheap levitra erectile dysfunction and is the wonder medicine to increase sexual vitality. Side effects include: nausea, heartburn, shortness of breath, trouble swallowing, dizziness, sexual tadalafil generic india dysfunction, and can trigger concerns when females wish to get shut to one more particular person. It can be done pfizer viagra cheap by intensive advertising through the newspaper, radio, etc. Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, most changes were positive, but fairly small. The DJI and the S&P/TSX Composite Index had small declines. Canada’s small caps and Nasdaq continue to lead the trend rankings.

Seasonality… We’ve included two new 60 second video clips from our primary source of seasonality data, Brooke Thackray. He discusses the outlook for the S&P 500 and the seasonal opportunity in Retail stocks.

PTA Perspective… What’s Your Cap Size?
Does size matter? Yes, it does, but possibly not in the manner you’re expecting! This week we walk you through the implications of company size for your investment decisions. There are times when you might seek the “safety” of large cap stocks, and other times (like now) when you’d be crazy not to load up on small caps.

SYNOPSIS

Well, the Dow Jones Industrial Average finally cracked through 20,000 for the first time ever on Wednesday, January 25 (my birthday!), and stayed up there through the remainder of the week. All the same most of the major indexes are still generally moving sideways. There is quite a bit of suspense over whether the next big move will be up or down out of the current trading range.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose to 86% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR at 26%; and the S&P 500 APAR at 21%. We bought two new positions for the PTP last week, and will likely add more this week to replace four stocks sold a week earlier.

Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, most changes were positive, with Canadian small caps and Nasdaq maintaining leadership positions based on trend. Most of our seven major indexes had one-week gains of +1% to +2%.

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Investor Confidence for January 2017… As usual we’ve waited until Tuesday to distribute this edition of TrendWatch Weekly, so that we can include the (last Tuesday) monthly results of the State Street Investor Confidence Index report. The Global ICI decreased just slightly to 93.8, down 0.3 points from December’s revised reading of 94.1. We have the regional results with their historical patterns as well. The European outlook is largely responsible for this month’s decline. The other regional indexes remained pretty much unchanged from December.

We like to remind you that this is not just a survey. The SSICI Global Index and the Regional Indexes reported in the full edition of TrendWatch Weekly are based on actual money flows controlled by institutional investors… between stocks (higher risk) and bonds (lower risk). 100 is the neutral point.

PTA Perspective… Using Leverage When Investing: Blessing or Curse?

While leverage should never be used indiscriminately, we think that there will often be situations where it should be considered: (1) to get more bang for your buck from very conservative investment vehicles, and (2) to increase your return dramatically when you’re convinced that the odds overwhelmingly in your favour. Keeping in mind that there are no “sure things” in the equities (or other) markets, probability can be your friend, and leverage can fatten your profits. Naturally, we also discuss the downside.

SYNOPSIS

It was another dull week in the markets, as the media obsession with the orange man with the tiny fingers left little room for other news. Let’s hope that this dissipates soon, so that the markets can re-establish direction, even if it’s down. Naturally, we’d prefer more rising prices, and with no volatility in the markets, the default direction is normally up. It’s just a matter of when.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose to 80% last week after we unloaded some stocks with expired uptrends. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR at 23%; and the S&P 500 APAR at 16%.

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Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, most changes were negative, with only the S&P/TSX Venture Index managing a small gain. The Russell 2000 fell -1.5%, which was the biggest one week loss. That was enough, however, to bring its trans ranking down to the bottom. Canadian small caps, meanwhile, are stilll near the top of the trend rankings.

PTA Perspective… Weekend Warrior Update & Checklist

We do our best to convince you each week that do-it-yourself investing doesn’t have to be difficult, but it does require a regular routine. We spend a substantial part of every weekend updating our materials, so that you should be ready for the week ahead simply by spending some time with the new data. You don’t have to wait for the newsletter, since the newest numbers in the Data & Charts Workbooks are usually posted on Saturday or occasionally Sunday. If you can set aside just an hour each weekend to track your performance, plan new purchases for the coming week, and identify stocks that should be sold, you should consistently stay ahead of the market averages. We provide a handy checklist to walk you through the details.

SYNOPSIS

It was a lacklustre week in the equities markets, and volatility remains almost non-existent, as it has for many weeks now. The rally in stocks which began a few days before the American election, has stalled again for the time being. No doubt some of this can be related to the president-elect’s future policies being shared 140 characters at a time.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) fell to 57% last week after several weeks of ups and downs. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR at 27%; and the S&P 500 APAR at 21%.

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PTA Perspective… 2016 ETF Review & 2017 Outlook

Although we tend to provide more coverage of stocks than ETFs in TrendWatch Weekly, exchange traded products (ETPs, of which ETFs are the largest proportion by far) are the most viable investment class for many investors. Each ETF provides broad diversification within a single security, and they make mutual funds look like dog food by comparison. This week we walk you through some high-level statistics on what’s been happening in the ETF industry, and what we’re likely to see going forward.