Coping with Trend-Less Markets!

SYNOPSIS

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It’s a pity that bribery runs rampant in American politics. OK… so they call it lobbying, but it’s the same thing. Anyway, while the gun issues are front and centre in the media, the equities markets are slowly coming back from that nasty “correction” a few weeks ago. We still need another 100+ S&P points to get back to the latest highs of late January.

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PTP… Our PTP Score gained a bit more to 130% from 125% previously. The two benchmarks improved too, with the S&P 500 APAR up to 12%, while its S&P/TSX Composite counterpart remains on the negative side at -7%.

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Last Week in the Major Indexes… We had some reasonable improvements over the past week, but we still have some major indexes with negative trend values. You can see the specifics in this week’s full-edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

Investor Confidence… The February 2018 results for the State Street Investor Confidence Index have just been posted. This is not an opinion poll. The SSICI is a measure of actual money flows between equities (higher numbers) and safer income securities among institutional investors (the “smart” money). The Global Investor Confidence Index increased to 107.4, up 4.4 points from January’s revised reading of 103.0.

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As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… Coping with Trend-Less Markets!
After a stock market “correction” (decline of 10% or more from recent highs), a whole lot of equities with nice consistent trend values lost those. We’re left in limbo, until there is a significant recovery or the confirmation of a further decline into a long term bear market. There’s very little to suggest that a bear market is just around the corner, but we may be a few weeks away from starting to see new highs in the major indexes again. So, what do you do in “limbo-land”. We offer some suggestions this week. Everything from creating short-term income opportunities to wild and crazy research projects. Sitting on cash for a while is OK. Not making the best use of this time to increase your profit potential is not.

Twits Who Trade Using Social Media

SYNOPSIS

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Winter Stock Olympics anyone? Freestyle version! Some stability has come back to the markets, but this isn’t likely to be a so-called “V-Bottom” where stocks bounce back as fast as they fell. Those a very rare occurrences. Like any sharp, sudden, painful wound, it takes time to heal.

PTP… After two weeks of losses, our portfolio has stabilized a bit, and the PTP Score actually gained to 125% from 81% previously. The two benchmarks improved too, with the S&P 500 APAR turning positive, while its S&P/TSX Composite counterpart remained on the negative side.wpid-bar_speedo_180216s-2018-02-18-00-49.png
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Last Week in the Major Indexes… We had some nice improvements over the past week, but they were only large enough to nudge a few major indexes back to the positive side. You see the specifics in this weeks full-edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… Twits Who Trade Using Social Media

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In this context we don’t intend to use the term “twit” in the original pejorative sense of “idiot”; because there is already an established term “StockTwit” that refers to an investor who publishes, reads and digests opinions about stocks via Twitter. These opinions and short bits of information are widely shared, as you’ll learn in this week’s edition of TrendWatch Weekly. We also explore numerous other financial services that exploit Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, and even social investment services that predate the Internet.

CORRECTION! What That Means & What To Do About It

SYNOPSIS

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Yes, we’re still “really high” with respect to recent all-time highs, but a set-back like last week can make things feel that we’re in a downward spiral. It’s time to pause and reflect, instead of rushing for the exit doors.

PTP… For a second week, we took losses just like everyone else. This time though we took major losses on a minority VIX inverse play that has been incredibly profitable in the past. This past week we lost 90% before we could hit the sell button. We’ll say more about that later, but our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) was chopped way down to 81% from 329% a week earlier. But you can still compare our results with the S&P 500 stocks, now to -38% from 16% a week earlier, and the S&P/TSX Composite stocks APAR, at -50% from -30% last time.
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Last Week in the Major Indexes… It was negative signs across the board for the major North American indexes once again. The Russell 2000 at an unchanged at 0.0% trend and 0.0% weekly performance was the leader of the pack.

PTA Perspective… CORRECTION! What That Means & What To Do About It
They say that a “healthy correction” is a fall of 10-15% from recent highs. Because it’s “healthy”, that means stocks will charge higher again. But then they say that a decline of 20% is a “bear market”, and stocks will continue to fall for an indefinite period of time… perhaps years. Hmm! Just 5% difference? We help you unravel this total nonsense this week, and remind you how media-induced hysteria could be exaggerating all negative moves in the equities markets.

CSE – The Exchange for Entrepreneurs

SYNOPSIS

 

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It’s not that the stock markets are always a roller coaster ride. It’s just that a plunge like last week’s after an amazing run up earlier in January can be a little unnerving. After all we tend to remember shocks to the system, better than mundane steady gains. And we experience and remember losses more than similar-sized profits. Don’t panic. Many analysts have been predicting (or hoping for?) a “healthy correction”, before the markets can take another run upward.

PTP… Naturally, we took losses last week just like everyone else. We had some sell signals early in the week, and acted on them. Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) was chopped in half over the week, but, hey, compare our performance with the S&P 500 stocks, now at 16% from 66% a week earlier, and the S&P/TSX Composite stocks APAR, a -30% now from +14% last time.
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Last Week in the Major Indexes… It was negative signs across the board for the major North American indexes, with the exception of the unchanged Russell 2000.

PTA Perspective… CSE – The Exchange for Entrepreneurs
Hidden in the shadows behind the Toronto Stock Exchange and the TSX Venture Exchange is another small independent competitor called the Canadian Securities Exchange. It may be small but its growing rapidly. Since it’s largely ignored by the business media, we introduced it to you back in a December 2016 edition of TrendWatch Weekly. Billing itself as the “Exchange for Entrepreneurs”, it mainly provides a trading home for startup companies seeking public capital. In the world of large, medium and small caps, most of these companies would be considered micro-caps. Nonetheless, for investors willing to take a chance on speculative ventures, the CSE deserves more of your attention. We extend our coverage of the CSE this week, noting the progress that has been made in the past year or so.

Momentum ETFs – Go with the Flow!

SYNOPSIS

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PTA Perspective… Momentum ETFs – Go with the Flow!
Our mathematical framework, relative trend analysis™ (RTA), is within the category of the momentum investing. Stocks on a winning streak often continue that winning streak relative to stocks that do not. It’s simple and academic research proven. So, it’s interesting to start to see ETFs appearing based on momentum investing. That means that the underlying index starts with a constituent list where all stocks are trending upward. We investigate what that means in terms finding better ETFs, if you’re thus inclined, and being better informed of the implications overall.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) pulled back to 733% this past week from a record 828% a week earlier. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR fell even further to 14%, while the S&P 500 APAR is up to 66% from 58% a week earlier.

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Last Week in the Major Indexes… It was a great week for one-week gains on most of the major indexes with numerous gains of 2% or higher over the week. The laggards continue to be the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index, the S&P/TSX Composite Index and the Russell 2000.

Investor Confidence… The January 2018 results for the State Street Investor Confidence Index have just been posted. This is not an opinion poll. The SSICI is a measure of actual money flows between equities (higher numbers) and safer income securities among institutional investors (the “smart” money). The Global Investor Confidence Index increased to 102.1, up 6.4 points from December’s revised reading of 95.7.

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As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly.

The S&P/TSX Specialty Indexes — Worth Following?

SYNOPSIS

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The cartoon is a little dated, in that the DJIA is now above 25,000, and shows no sign of retreating. Other major US indexes are falling suit. Is this worrisome? Perhaps, but as the old expression goes, “investors climb a wall of worry”! It’s when most investors are overconfident and belief that the bull market will last forever that one should really worry.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rebounded to a new record high of 828% this past week from 306% a week earlier. How did that happen? Well, you’ll need to read the full edition of TrendWatch Weekly to find out! The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR dropped a percentage point to 19%, while the S&P 500 APAR is up to 58% from 51% a week earlier.

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Last Week in the Major Indexes… The S&P/TSX Venture Index has been displaced from its top position in the rankings by the Dow Industrials by a tiny margin. The Russell 2000 (US small caps) continues to be the laggard, even though we’re supposed to be in a seasonably favourable period for that index until early March.

PTA Perspective… The S&P/TSX Specialty Indexes — Worth Following?
Although rarely discussed by the business media, the Toronto Stock Exchange maintains some “specialty” indexes beyond the indexes based on the GICS top-level categories that we discuss in our sector analysis. Every now and then we like to have at look at what’s going on with those, and this is one of those times. Have you been thinking about base metals lately? Maybe you should!

2017 Year End Review – Global Perspective

SYNOPSIS

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Well, we’re two weeks into 2018, and so far so good. The especially good news is that there are signs of economic strength worldwide. We’ll explore the impact on global equities in this week’s edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) declined abruptly to 306% from 443% a week earlier. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR nudged up a percentage point to 20%, while the S&P 500 APAR is up 10% to 51%.
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Last Week in the Major Indexes… The S&P/TSX Venture Index is still at the top of the trend list, after being at the bottom for a long time. Meanwhile US small caps (as determined via the Russell 2000) are the worst performers. All major indexes (aside from Russell 2000) gained last week, and all trend values are positive).

PTA Perspective… 2017 Year End Review – Global Perspective
We turn our attention this week to the worldwide equities markets during 2017. Among other things, we show you that the long string of new highs in DJI, S&P 500 and Nasdaq during 2017 mean almost nothing in a global context. Blame Trump for that!

2017 Year End Review – North America

SYNOPSIS

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Well, 2018 has arrived, without any major incidents so far! In fact the first trading week of 2018 was filled with new records by the major stock indexes. Let’s hope that’s an omen for the entire year.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) moved ahead to 443% from 405% a week earlier. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR shrunk by 3 percentage points, while the S&P 500 APAR gained 18 points.
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Last Week in the Major Indexes… The S&P/TSX Venture Index is still at the top of the trend list, after being at the bottom for a long time. Meanwhile US small caps (as determined via the Russell 200) are the worst performing index. All major indexes (aside from Russell 2000) gained last week, and all trend values are positive).

PTA Perspective… 2017 Year End Review – North America
It’s once again time to size up where the action was in 2017, and take a look at what might be in store for 2018. We look at the North American indexes — Major and Sector — in this week’s edition, and will fold in the global picture next week. Spoiler alert… we can assure you that 2017 has been a very good year, and we’re sure that your profit/loss statements for 2017 will also show that you have been outperforming the major indexes substantially via The ProfiTrend Advantage.

Happy New Year!

SYNOPSIS

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Well, we all know the the so-called “Trump Bump” didn’t really exist, since about 65% of the world’s stock markets out-performed the S&P 500 in 2017, which is admittedly up nearly 20% this year. That’s just not good enough by international standards.

Naturally viagra cipla 20mg extracted ingredients have the power to beat every competition that they come across. Kamagra is a world class and high buy viagra samples quality solution of dealing with male disorder. There are many people cialis 20 mg around the world who suffer from it. Therefore by getting properly controlled and monitored by this drug’s compositions PDE5 body enzyme becomes unable to cause impotency in men and also accelerates the further cheap viagra australia bad affectivity to worsen the condition of erectile dysfunction by hindering the blood supply to regenerative area. PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) blasted ahead to 405% from 259% a week earlier. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR added 4 percentage points, while the S&P 500 APAR dropped 6 points. We still think it’s clear who’s winning this race.

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Last Week in the Major Indexes… One-week gains for the S&P/TSX Venture Index brought that index to the top of the trend list. This is the time for Canadian small caps to soar!

PTA Perspective… Happy New Year!
Seasons greetings my friends! We had hoped to begin our year-end review this weekend, but with a bit of fun and merriment, we didn’t quite get there. Count on that in our next edition. It has been a great year with the S&P 500 up just shy of 20%! The S&P/TSX Composite Index didn’t fare as well at about +6%, but if you went with the trends you already knew where your money should be! Canadian pot stocks have soared and should continue to do so in 2018.

Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays!

SYNOPSIS

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Well, it looks like the extremely wealthy got their tax cut. Now what does that mean for the markets? The optimists think that the large corporations will start paying higher salaries and create new jobs. There has never been any credible evidence of this “trickle down” effect before, so why should it start now? Buy stocks of these corporations, who will keep the poor poor; because they will be more profitable with lower tax rates.

In generic levitra other words after consuming the medicine you will be ready because the medicine is already in your system. Be that as it may, a portion cialis in usa of the disease are life debilitating and they require a decent number of meds to correct the issue. In some cases, get free viagra it can also turn as the reason of separation. Hence, to get rid of this erection issue just try out this drug called http://amerikabulteni.com/2011/10/12/dancing-with-the-stars-dorduncu-haftada-kim-elendi/ cialis canada cheap 100 mg. PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) declined to 259% from 287% a week earlier. The S&P 500 APAR added 1 percentage point, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR doubled to 18%. We still think it’s clear who’s winning this race.

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Last Week in the Major Indexes… One-week gains were quite modest last week with the exception of the Canadian small caps, that have seemed to be in hibernation for many months. The S&P/TSX Small Cap Index actually gained 2.9% last week…. moving it up to #4 in the trend rankings from the bottom of the list last week.

Last Week in the Sectors… The outstanding sector last week was (once again) the S&P/TSX Health Care Index, which is now rising at 3.1% per week. Do you remember the single company that’s responsible for that stellar performance? Don’t worry. We’ll remind you.