SYNOPSIS

Wall St and Bay St took a beating with Trump’s escalating trade war last week. He’s still using Herbert Hoover’s 1929 play book that led the US (and indirectly the rest of the world) into The Great Depression. Can we afford to have that happen again?

Last week… Minus signs last week, and it’s not difficult to determine who was responsible.

PTP… Our PTP APAR score pulled back over the past week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR fell just one point, but the S&P 500 APAR fell from 34% in our last report.
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We sold one position and replaced it with another one.

PTA Perspective… DPO vs IPO?
We all know what an Initial Public Offering (IPO) is, but how many of you know what a Direct Public Offering (DPO) is? We’ll tell you in this week’s edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

Cannabis Corner… While cannabis stocks tend to outperform the overall markets when the overall markets are trending up, they also fall faster when overall market indexes decline. That’s what we saw last week. More details in this week’s coverage.

SYNOPSIS

Bull/bear cloud gazing! Yes, the new highs keep coming, whenever Trump quits tweeting for a day or two. His latest threats of higher tariffs against China, however, could put an end to this. The Americans will likely suffer the most from this stupidity. They don’t want to buy inferior American goods, when they can get highly quality Chinese goods at a lower price. If those imports suddenly become 25% more expensive, that won’t go down well with Trump supporters.

Last week… The S&P 500 took the lead this past week, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index took a hit.

PTP… Our PTP APAR score continued to climb over the past week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR fell 20 points, while the S&P 500 APAR gained just a bit from 31% in our last report.
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We sold two positions last week, but added three more.

PTA Perspective… “Sell in May and Go Away” Redux
This topic comes up every year, and we continue to offer our perspective. At issue are years of data that show that investing in November through April is far more profitable than the other six consecutive months. If you invested only in May through October from 1950 onward, you would have essentially zero return on an original investment of $1000; but you’d have over $1 million if you invested only in November through April. We continue to unravel what’s right and wrong with this strategy of 6-in/6-out.

Cannabis Corner… The number of US cannabis companies listing of the CSE continues to grow. Also, there is a shift of interest from major growers to smaller niche players with important roles to play… retailers, flower-to-liquid extractors, drying equipment providers, health & wellness companies (outside of medicinal pot), and pharma companies creating proprietary drugs built upon a cannabinoid base.

SYNOPSIS

We hope this isn’t you! It shouldn’t be if you’re learning and profiting from the ProfiTrend Advantage. There’s nothing like momentum stocks to keep your portfolio moving in the right direction. And the collective momentum has taken most of the major indexes to all-time record highs recently.

Last week… Unlike the previous week, the S&P 500 took the lead this past week, with a gain of about 1%. The S&P/TSX Composite Index was unchanged.

PTP… Our PTP APAR score continued to climb over the past week, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APARs each fell a few points on our scale.

We added three new holdings to our portfolio last week, to reduce our excess cash position.
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Investor Confidence… In April the State Street (Global) Investor Confidence Index (SSICI) increased to 72.9 up 1.7 points from March’s revised reading of 71.2. That’s really not much in light of current equity market conditions.

As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the complete Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly. We also question how smart the so-called “smart money” really is. After all, you and I have been accumulating amazing profits in equities since the December 24 low, but the proportion of funds in equities held by the “smart money” remains near all-time lows. Perhaps “dumb money” is a more appropriate term.

Cannabis Corner… Pot stocks were mixed bag of winners and losers last week. Check out the details in the expanded section.

PTA Perspective… Since we’ve devoted a little more discussion than usual of the latest SSICI results and their implications, we haven’t prepared an extra PTA Perspective section this week. But be sure to send in your suggestions for future topics or research projects.

SYNOPSIS

We hope you all celebrated something this Easter weekend… chocolate, cannabis on 420 Day Saturday, a chocolate/cannabis edible, a rabbit BBQ or traditional dinner with family and friends! No doubt Trump celebrated with a platter of cheeseburgers! It was a shortened trading week with the Friday holiday, and a relatively uninteresting one from a trading perspective. It’s good to take a break though, before working on which way the markets will move next.

Day by Day… While Canadian stocks fared better than those south of the border, less than 1% over a week isn’t a lot to brag about.

PTP… Our PTP APAR score continued to climb over the past week, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APARs each fell by 7-8 points on our scale.
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Once again, we expected to be on a buying spree last week, but with the general lack of direction, we just sold one position and replaced it with one more during this holiday shortened week. Hopefully next week will bring better opportunities.

Cannabis Corner… Pot stocks were mixed. One stock fell 24% just last week alone, while a half dozen had 5-10% gains. Check out the details in the expanded section.

PTA Perspective… Insider Trading: Do You Really Understand It?
Novice investors, and even some with considerable experience, tend to jump to the conclusion that insider trading is always a crime and should be dealt with accordingly. They vividly remember Martha Stewart convicted and shipped off to prison for five months. But the commonest form of insider trading is 100% legal; and the extent to which it happens can be followed as a fundamental indicator of a company’s future stock price moves. We explain (or remind you) in this week’s edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

SYNOPSIS

From our perspective, the “clowns” are the business media and most of the so-called analysts that they talk to. The timing comes from applying a systematic numbers-based approach with all of your buy/sell decisions and tracking your progress. Whether you incorporate aspects of our relative trend analysis™ (RTA) approach or not, be sure to measure your progress like you would watch your speedometer when you’re driving. You always need to know how fast your profits are rising, if you’re going to achieve your ultimate financial goals, and compare your speed with the competition!

Day by Day… The markets were virtually unchanged this past week. Boring!

PTP… Our PTP APAR score continued to rebound over the past week, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APARs were practically unchanged.
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We expected to be on a buying spree last week, but with the general lack of direction, we just sold one position and replaced it with one more. Hopefully next week will provide better opportunities.

Cannabis Corner… Pot stocks took a tumble last week, with few exceptions. Some of the large-cap group we track fell as much as 15%, although over half of them still have positive trend values. Check out the details.

PTA Perspective… Hark! A Golden Cross Arrives Just before Easter!
A Golden Cross is when the 50-day moving average of a major index crosses up above the 200-day moving average. That has happened with the S&P 500 and most of the other major indexes just recently. It generally indicates that a solid rally is turning into a longer-term positive trend. The inverse, which we discussed last fall is the Death Cross, where you may be falling into a prolonged down-trend. This week we discuss how our own version of these crossing points within the relative trend analysis™ (RTA) framework get’s you out of declines and into new uptrends much sooner than the traditional approach.

SYNOPSIS

Can we attribute recent equities gains on trade talks to “juicing”? We have our doubts, but we’re not complaining about the equity price improvements across the board. Just saying that the media reasons for up and down movements in market indexes are a work of fiction, since no evidence is ever provided for cause-and-effect relationships. It’s all speculative.

Day by Day… 2% in a single week may not be record breaking, but we’ll take it!

PTP… Our PTP APAR score rebounded nicely over the past week, and the S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APARs had some decent improvements too.
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In spite of general market improvements, we ended up buying just one new position and selling two, based on our volatility-based sell signals.

Cannabis Corner… Pot stocks continue to do well,. Most of the large-cap group have positive trends and substantial one-week improvements last week. Check out the details.

PTA Perspective… 2019 – Q1 Review – Global Perspective
After providing a recap of the performance of North American stocks last week, we’re now taking you through a guided tour of global equities. It turns out that the morbid picture we portrayed at the end of 2018 has improved dramatically. Check out the countries that you should keep an eye on. Then use ETFs or ADRs to buy-in.

SYNOPSIS

Brexit may draw a “so what?” response from North American investors, but a crushed British economy could have ramifications world-wide. If you haven’t been following the details, comedian and generally accurate fact checker, John Oliver, delivers a brilliant summary in this video. While recorded over a month ago, everything is still remarkably up-to-date. March 29 is behind us now, and still no resolution!

Last Week… In a rebound from the previous week, the S&P 500 companies gained a little over 1%, but the S&P/TSX Composite Index equities barely moved above unchanged.

PTP… Our PTP APAR score was faltered below the long-term average of about 110, but is still decently above the benchmarks.

We sold two stocks in the PTP last week on sell signals, and added one more.

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As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the complete Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly.

Cannabis Corner… More mixed results but the trends for the biggest companies are still generally positive. We could be on hold now until the next earnings reports in 6-8 weeks.

PTA Perspective… 2019 – Q1 Review – North America
Yes, another three months have passed, and it’s time for another quarterly report. The contrast between how we closed out 2018 and the how we finished Q1 2019 is phenomenal. You’ll want to check that out.

SYNOPSIS

We would say that ”reprieve”, not exoneration is the operative term! The Trump recession has been signalled on Friday, so that can be added to the list above.

Last Week… We’ve simplified our chart to focus on the weekly move, not the day-by-day bumps. It was a down week, amplified Friday with the Mueller results and the inverted yield curve signally recession.

PTP… The benchmark APAR improved for the S&P/TSX Composite Index, but there was a hefty decline for its S&P 500 counterpart. Our PTP score declined quite a bit, but is still above its 8 year median of around 109.
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We bought one new position last week.

Cannabis Corner… Another week, another set of ups and downs across cannabis companies on a one-week basis. The members of the “$1 Billion Club” have been shuffled this week, as you’ll see in the detailed marijuana coverage.

PTA Perspective… Are You Ready for Recession?
Yes, the R-Word is now backed by an inverted yield curve in Canada and the US, predicting a recession within 6-12 months. The indicator has a 100% success rate (by most accounts). Find out when and why to worry in this week’s edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

SYNOPSIS

The Ides of March is a day on the Roman calendar that corresponds to 15 March. It was notable for the Romans as a deadline for settling debts. In 44 BC, it became notorious as the day of the assassination of Julius Caesar. As for Tesla, your call is as good as mine; but Elon Musk is definitely developing his own Julius Caesar complex. Beware!

Day by Day… There was nothing choppy about last week, although the two indexes finished quite differently. Almost +3% for S&P 500 and just under +1% for S&P/TSX Composite Index.

Kamagra, much like cialis sale , is a medication that helps men suffering from ED achieve erections. this is because it provides essential educational content about the rules of the road are and how to drive in a safe and effective way. This is often the biggest void in people’s lives. cheap viagra in india How to Treat Anorexia Just like any other eating disorder, anorexia does not require hospitalization – except for the cases where severe weight loss is observed, leading to impaired organ functions. generic viagra 100mg And the problem for most people is they do not mean you that you must get tensed about yourself. online viagra australia is the drug that is not marketed for lots of years presently. PTP… The benchmark APARs are now around 30%. Our PTP score has fluctuated over the past few weeks, but is once again still above it’s 7+ year median of around 108.

We acquired two new positions last week. We’re finally deploying our remaining cash reserves somewhat belatedly.

Cannabis Corner… Another week, another set of ups and downs across cannabis companies on a one-week basis. The trend leaders are rotating too, as you’ll see in the detailed pot coverage in this week’s TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… Do You Know Your Index Constituents?
We look to stock market indexes as a benchmark for how our own investments are doing. But do you know how often the constituents of those indexes are changing. Constituent changes will affect the future performance of the same index. We explain how significant this is in this week’s edition.

SYNOPSIS

There is nothing like roasting a financial advisor or two now and then. It’ll remind you how much more profitable you are as a do-it-yourself investor. You know your success rate is far better than whatever your advisor had you into beforehand.

Day by Day… It was another choppy week; but both indexes ended slightly higher by Friday’s close. Even fractional gains add up over time.

PTP… The index APARs both pulled back over the week, but with some additions to our PTP portfolio, our score moved higher.

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Investor Confidence… The Global Investor Confidence Index increased to 70.9 in February, up 1.5 points from January’s revised reading of 69.4. This is just a modest move above January’s lowest level ever reached in the 18 years that we’ve been following this index!

As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the complete Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly, and some insight into what is going on.

Cannabis Corner… Another week, another set of ups and downs across cannabis companies on a one-week basis. The trend leaders are rotating too, as you’ll see in the expanded section of this week’s TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… The “Other” Indexes on the Toronto Stock Exchange
Although we tend to focus on the major stock market indexes and the sector indexes, there are a whole bunch of others that have been made up by the stock exchanges due to popular demand from those with deep pockets. We shed some light of 17 of these reported by the TSX this week, and ask “Do we really care?”