SYNOPSIS

Smiling or not, volatility is never a reason for concern, unless you use VIX (“the Fear Index”) as your measure. Real volatility swings both ways. Rapidly accelerating stock prices increase real volatility just as much as price declines. The VIX creator had the best of intentions in mind, but neglected to realize the growing pool of research results in behavioural economics. People are far more scared of losses than they are euphoric about gains. So even though VIX calculations include both Call (optimistic) Options and Put (pessimistic) Options, traders buy Puts far more often than Calls… especially after the markets sell-off sharply. So, VIX is a “fear-gauge”; but that’s not what it was intended to be. Meanwhile, real volatility can be a close friend. Recognize the difference between the evil and the smile!

Last week… No upside last week. The TSX remained relatively unchanged, but the S&P500 dropped 2.5%.
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PTP… Well, it’s been two weeks since our last edition, so we’ve lost some of that week-over-week continuity. The TSX and S&P500 APARs have dropped about 75%, while our PTP has roughly been cut in half.

PTA Perspective… Are You Ready to Invest in Psychedelics Companies?
In recent years we’ve been so successful with finding niche thematic sectors (as opposed to our standard top-down approach), that we’re constantly looking for the next big wave to surf! Not all, of course, will suddenly create a splash, especially when the number of participants is small, but it can’t hurt to begin a list and track trends. Our latest is Psychedelics! Yes, the mind-altering drugs some of us remember from the 60s and 70s… LSD, Magic Mushrooms, MDMA. The medical benefits of some of these are currently under approved drug trials now… for depression, ADHD, PTSD, addiction, and other mental health conditions, plus weight loss. Possibly a bit early, but we’re telling you more about potential opportunities in this week’s edition of TrendWatch Weekly.