SYNOPSIS

“Totally Nuts” is the new normal… for now. Major indexes rise as the economy of every country falters. Gold, which normally rises in value mainly when stock markets are collapsing, is rising in spite of that. Meanwhile, as the media continue their fear-mongering, investors shrug it off. If that isn’t “Totally Nuts”, we don’t know what is!

Last week… Once again the most recent week went the opposite direction of the week before. So, we’re back on the minus side this time.
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PTP… The S&P 500 and S&P/TSX Composite Index APARs have pulled back substantially this past week, while we managed to maintain a pretty decent PTP score.

PTA Perspective… COVID-19: Have You Found the Cure?
We turned Covid-19 into a thematic sector for do-it-yourself investors this past week, and show you our results in this week’s edition of TrendWatch Weekly. We’ve assembled a list of 40 companies who claim to be be working on testing, treatments or a vaccine for our annoying virus, and calculated all the trend and consistency values for your perusal.

SYNOPSIS

Magic does pay better than facts. That’s why ill-informed investors are so quick to lose the money that they’ve invested. They go with someone’s (magic) stock picks, because they think that the stock picker must be smart. They’re not! Investors need a disciplined personal strategy to be successful. You need to control your own investments with a well-defined methodology.

Last week… This is getting redundant. The most recent week is the opposite of the week before. So, we’re back on the plus side this time.
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PTP… The S&P 500 and S&P/TSX Composite Index APARs have pulled back this week, while we managed to almost double the PTP score. No secrets. Just buying some of the best stocks with positive trends.

PTA Perspective… The End of Leveraged ETNs & ETFs???
We need to talk. Although we’ve encouraged leveraged ETFs for a number of reasons over the years, there may be a concerted plan to shut many of them down. This is an important update, and we’ve deferred the previously planned topic to make you aware that this is serious.

SYNOPSIS

I read this cartoon as a spin on the expression, “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it!”. The goal of the do-it-yourself investor/trader is to adopt a self-tailor investment system that performs reliably well. Also, it should be a simple as possible. We want to make as much money as we can, as fast as we can, but we don’t want to work too hard to do that! So, experiment if you like with alternative or supplemental strategies. We encourage that. But don’t abandon your tried-and-true approach, while thinking outside your comfortable box.

Last week… Last week’s results were almost exactly the opposite of those the previous week. Close to the same (large) numbers, but with minus signs in front of them this time.
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PTP… As you would expect, a large negative one-week move has a negative impact on the weekly trends, which get exaggerated further (multiplied) when annualized. Nonetheless all three APARs are still positive. Remember that the S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APARs hit record 10-year highs just the previous week. The current numbers are still well above average. The 9-year medians for the APARs are… TSX 11%, S&P 16%, PTP 121%. So, although our PTP score has retreated over the past couple weeks, we are still ahead of our long-term average.

PTA Perspective… Requesting New Topics!
We need your help folks! Maybe it’s just pre-summer doldrums, but we’ve been coming up short lately on topics for the Perspective section. Let us know what you’d like to see covered in our more detailed PTA Perspective section of TrendWatch Weekly.

SYNOPSIS

Yes, you have to wonder when even the bulls are wondering why the markets are climbing so fast in one of the gloomiest geopolitical crisis times in history! But our job is to profit, not to wonder why!

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Last week… Last week’s results blew away the great advance of a week earlier! Where is all this investment capital coming from?

PTP… Yes, I’m sure that most of you realized that the PTP APAR of 1093% last week couldn’t last. But even at half-that we’re happy. The biggest news from our perspective though, is that triple-digit S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APARs are virtual unheard of. What’s more, these are the highest values we’ve seen since we began tracking APARs about a decade ago. We know that these rates can’t last, but can you imagine 140-150% returns from a portfolio of S&P/TSX Composite Index or S&P 500 stocks in one calendar year?