SYNOPSIS

And so it goes. We maybe get a couple good days in a row in the markets, and suddenly the tweets start flying again, and stocks go off the rails. The best we can do is remain patient and stick to our strategies. If we’re gradually pushed out of the equities arena, because we’re acting on our sell signals and refraining from buying new positions (because there are few of them), so be it. The opportunities will return.

Last week… Both the S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 took another hit last week. This time US stocks fell twice as much as Canadian counterparts.

PTP… Our PTP APAR score increased a bit during the past week. Both the S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APARs fell deeper into negative territory. Both declined over 10 points relative to our previous report.
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No buys or sells in the PTP last week, as conditions deteriorate further.

PTA Perspective… Tale of Two Canadian Tech Sweethearts
We rarely publish much analysis and opinion on individual companies, but we can’t help but ignore the success of Shopify (SHOP) and Lightspeed POS (LSPD)… two TSX Information Technology stocks. Their shares are grossly overpriced according to most analysts, but that hasn’t stopped them from continuing higher. We take a look this week. They’re both addressing the same customer base, but the services and software that they respectively offer are more complementary than competitive. More in this week’s full edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

Cannabis Corner… We have our usual updated chart of the performance of the largest cannabis stocks (our “Billionaire Club” based on market cap). This group is still suffering from set-backs in share prices since the end of Q1. Q2 reporting season is pretty much over now, and very few results resulted in investor buying. When that did happen, the price surge lasted only a few days at best. We’ll likely put the Cannabis Corner on hold after this week’s discussion, until we see a resurgence of interest. (Our analysis will continue in the background, so that when we have some promising results, we’ll be back online.)

SYNOPSIS

Trump Tweets Unleash Extreme Market Volatility

There is never any doubt who’s causing market volatility, but keep in mind that volatility nowadays is mostly measured via VIX, a decidedly biased measure of true volatility. VIX climbs as investors rush into put options to hedge previous gains. That means they expect the S&P stocks to fall. A true measure of volatility assigns equal weight on gains and losses in a stock or index. It should not be something to fear. Volatility is getting a bad name, because it usually means that stocks are falling in value. Trump’s policies do cause that, but he contributes nothing to market gains. This may not be the most amusing cartoon, but be sure to check out Investing.com as an investment information hub if you haven’t already. Yahoo! Finance is pretty good for North American stocks, but Investing.com has far better global coverage. It’s also a source for some of the dynamically updated widgets in the Toolbox section of the PTA web site.

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PTP… Our PTP APAR score dropped a bit during the past week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR fell into negative territory following the S&P 500 APAR which dropped further from -15% to -26%.

We sold one position in the PTP last week… that’s it.

Cannabis Corner… We have our usual updated chart of the performance of the largest cannabis stocks (our “Billionaire Club” based on market cap). This group is still suffering from set-backs in share prices since the end of Q1. It’s currently cannabis stock reporting season for Q2. There were a few stocks with excellent Q2 financial reports, but the resulting price gains gains didn’t last long. Investor confidence in this thematic market sector has definitely slipped. Step aside, unless you’re someone who prefers to pick bottoms in a down-trending market.

SYNOPSIS

Ever get that feeling that your stocks are heading for a brick wall, and you start to feel like a dummy? Chances are that you’re wrong (about the dummy part anyway). There are just times when a majority of all stocks head lower… yours included. We don’t need to discuss reasons for a mass sell-off, just accept the fact that they happen from time to time. Unfortunately, we may be sliding into one of those phases right now. More in this week’s edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

Last week… We had the Canadian and US markets heading in opposite directions again last week, but not to any great extent.
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PTP… Our PTP APAR score remained fairly constant during the past week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR rose a bit and the S&P 500 APAR turned even more negative.

We sold one position in the PTP last week and replaced it with another one. We’re continuing to select stocks based on the uptrend in gold bullion, and gold mining equities.

Cannabis Corner… We have our usual updated chart of the performance of the largest cannabis stocks (our “Billionaire Club” based on market cap). This group is still suffering from set-backs in share prices since the end of Q1. It’s currently cannabis stock reporting season for Q2. Most so far have substantially increased production and revenues, but only a small proportion have positive earnings. With regard to price shifts following the release of the financial results to date, profitable companies have been rewarded (price boost), whereas there has been a rush to the exits for those with substantial losses, particularly those with expanding losses.

SYNOPSIS

Have you ever had one of those weeks when you don’t like being reminded that some stocks have blown through the ceiling, while the overall markets were on a slide? Well, last week was one of those! In 5 trading days solar stocks Sunpower and Enphase Energy were up 47% and 40% respectively. Even in the dormant or declining pot patch, Aphria, Charlotte’s Web, Cannvas Medtech and Speakeasy Cannabis Club rose 34%, 42%, 32%, and 29% respectively. Yes… in 1 week, 5 trading days! Meanwhile, look at the S&P 500 and S&P/TSX Composite Index in the next section of our summary.

Last week… It was mostly bad news for the markets over the past week, in spite of a mixed bag of economic and geopolitical news.

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There was no trading activity in the PTP last week.

PTA Perspective… Selling with Style!
We have often emphasized the importance of knowing when to sell… in fact even more than how to pick stocks. Fear-of-loss is the biggest psychological threat to every investor’s portfolio performance. It’s been proven over and over again in academic research, and it’s been proven that active fund managers (mutual funds or actively managed ETFs) are just as susceptible or even more so. That’s why actively managed funds underperform even a simple baseline like S&P 500 85% of the time. This week we revisit the topic of how to set sell-signals and stick to your selling process!

Cannabis Corner… We have our usual updated chart of the performance of the largest cannabis stocks (our “Billionaire Club” based on market cap). This group is still suffering from set-backs in share prices since the end of Q1, but there were some positive surprises as well this past week (some previewed above with our cartoon commentary).