SYNOPSIS

Brexit may draw a “so what?” response from North American investors, but a crushed British economy could have ramifications world-wide. If you haven’t been following the details, comedian and generally accurate fact checker, John Oliver, delivers a brilliant summary in this video. While recorded over a month ago, everything is still remarkably up-to-date. March 29 is behind us now, and still no resolution!

Last Week… In a rebound from the previous week, the S&P 500 companies gained a little over 1%, but the S&P/TSX Composite Index equities barely moved above unchanged.

PTP… Our PTP APAR score was faltered below the long-term average of about 110, but is still decently above the benchmarks.

We sold two stocks in the PTP last week on sell signals, and added one more.

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As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the complete Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly.

Cannabis Corner… More mixed results but the trends for the biggest companies are still generally positive. We could be on hold now until the next earnings reports in 6-8 weeks.

PTA Perspective… 2019 – Q1 Review – North America
Yes, another three months have passed, and it’s time for another quarterly report. The contrast between how we closed out 2018 and the how we finished Q1 2019 is phenomenal. You’ll want to check that out.

SYNOPSIS

We would say that ”reprieve”, not exoneration is the operative term! The Trump recession has been signalled on Friday, so that can be added to the list above.

Last Week… We’ve simplified our chart to focus on the weekly move, not the day-by-day bumps. It was a down week, amplified Friday with the Mueller results and the inverted yield curve signally recession.

PTP… The benchmark APAR improved for the S&P/TSX Composite Index, but there was a hefty decline for its S&P 500 counterpart. Our PTP score declined quite a bit, but is still above its 8 year median of around 109.
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We bought one new position last week.

Cannabis Corner… Another week, another set of ups and downs across cannabis companies on a one-week basis. The members of the “$1 Billion Club” have been shuffled this week, as you’ll see in the detailed marijuana coverage.

PTA Perspective… Are You Ready for Recession?
Yes, the R-Word is now backed by an inverted yield curve in Canada and the US, predicting a recession within 6-12 months. The indicator has a 100% success rate (by most accounts). Find out when and why to worry in this week’s edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

SYNOPSIS

The Ides of March is a day on the Roman calendar that corresponds to 15 March. It was notable for the Romans as a deadline for settling debts. In 44 BC, it became notorious as the day of the assassination of Julius Caesar. As for Tesla, your call is as good as mine; but Elon Musk is definitely developing his own Julius Caesar complex. Beware!

Day by Day… There was nothing choppy about last week, although the two indexes finished quite differently. Almost +3% for S&P 500 and just under +1% for S&P/TSX Composite Index.

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We acquired two new positions last week. We’re finally deploying our remaining cash reserves somewhat belatedly.

Cannabis Corner… Another week, another set of ups and downs across cannabis companies on a one-week basis. The trend leaders are rotating too, as you’ll see in the detailed pot coverage in this week’s TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… Do You Know Your Index Constituents?
We look to stock market indexes as a benchmark for how our own investments are doing. But do you know how often the constituents of those indexes are changing. Constituent changes will affect the future performance of the same index. We explain how significant this is in this week’s edition.

SYNOPSIS

There is nothing like roasting a financial advisor or two now and then. It’ll remind you how much more profitable you are as a do-it-yourself investor. You know your success rate is far better than whatever your advisor had you into beforehand.

Day by Day… It was another choppy week; but both indexes ended slightly higher by Friday’s close. Even fractional gains add up over time.

PTP… The index APARs both pulled back over the week, but with some additions to our PTP portfolio, our score moved higher.

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Investor Confidence… The Global Investor Confidence Index increased to 70.9 in February, up 1.5 points from January’s revised reading of 69.4. This is just a modest move above January’s lowest level ever reached in the 18 years that we’ve been following this index!

As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the complete Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly, and some insight into what is going on.

Cannabis Corner… Another week, another set of ups and downs across cannabis companies on a one-week basis. The trend leaders are rotating too, as you’ll see in the expanded section of this week’s TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… The “Other” Indexes on the Toronto Stock Exchange
Although we tend to focus on the major stock market indexes and the sector indexes, there are a whole bunch of others that have been made up by the stock exchanges due to popular demand from those with deep pockets. We shed some light of 17 of these reported by the TSX this week, and ask “Do we really care?”