SYNOPSIS

There is nothing like seeing a fairly prolonged period of high velocity return-on-investment in equities like right now. These are the times when “buy & hold” investors lose the most in terms of long-term returns. While we skim quick profits in weeks or months, the “buy/hold” camp are holding wasting investments with no one but their financial advisor raking in money from their retirement funds.

Day by Day… It was another zig-zag during the four days of trading last week; but both indexes ended higher. The S&P/TSX Composite Index almost doubled the performance of its US cousin, the S&P 500.

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PTP… The S&P APAR score lost a bit of ground over the past week, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index score gained 12%. Meanwhile, the PTP APAR held steady at 339% in spite of some active trading.

We acquired five new positions last week. More additions coming soon as we put remaining cash to work.

Cannabis Corner… Another week, another set of ups and downs across cannabis companies on a one-week basis. The trend leaders are rotating too, as you’ll see in the expanded section of this week’s TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… The Whole World Is on Our Side!
Over the past month we’ve really emphasized the ideal conditions of North American market conditions. This week we have a peek at how the rest of the world is doing. The short answer, “Pretty damned well!” In the extended edition of TrendWatch Weekly, we show you all the detail and hopefully reassure you that Trump hasn’t destroyed the world-wide economy (yet!)

SYNOPSIS

Actually, don’t assume that your financial advisor is managing your retirement savings via “analytical software”. He’s not paid to even understand what that means. The “8 Ball” will do, and he gets his money, whether you see any profits or not! If you’re not investing all of your money yourself, now is the time to think about it. Market conditions right now should easily allow you to outperform the general benchmarks, and you won’t be paying an advisor to drain your savings into his pocket.

Day by Day… The previous one-week chart was choppy with the Joke of the Union matter, but the uptrend was intact again this past week. Smooth gains for both the S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500.

PTP… The S&P APAR score gained 17 percentage points over the past week, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index score gained 7%. Meanwhile, the PTP APAR was moved up to 339% from the previous report.
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We sold two positions last week and added one more. More additions coming soon. We’re far too heavily still in cash right now, given the amazingly bullish market conditions.

Cannabis Corner… Another week, another set of wild ups and downs across cannabis companies on a one-week basis. Meanwhile though, some of the bigger players have had rock solid upward trends. We’ve expanded our coverage in this week’s full edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… Why RTA Is Not a Good Match for BizTV: Redux
This week we’ve drawn from our “Best of…” features from our history. This one is from 2013. Those long-term subscribers who remember it can skip that section this week and go spend your time on your preparations for the upcoming trading week. We’re hoping it will have more value to newer members of our community. Presented as a scenario of why I’d never be invited to be a guest on a common business TV (BizTV) show, I poke a little fun at the boring, repetitive nature of business media coverage; and imply why there’s so much room for improvement.

SYNOPSIS

Well, we were off to a great start in the stock markets last week, and then Trump’s State of the Union Speech happened. Clearly, there were more lies and deceit contained in that session than most investors could tolerate.

Day by Day… The previous week’s rally extended into Monday and Tuesday, then the shit hit the fan; or more specifically Donald Trump presented his State of the Union speech. The S&P 500 and other major US indexes suffered the most, although in fairness the S&P 500 ended the week pretty much unchanged. The S&P/TSX Composite Index held its own through Wednesday and Thursday, before dipping on Friday. It ended the week 0.8% higher than the previous Friday.

PTP… The S&P APAR score was unchanged over the past week, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index score gained two percentage points. Meanwhile, the PTP APAR was cut in half to 244% from the previous report. Remember, however, that our goal is to stay substantially above the benchmarks. At 246% we’re still well ahead of our 400-week average of 108%. The long term averages for the benchmarks are 10% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index and 16% for the S&P 500.
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We added one position last week… a financial services software company.

Investor Confidence… The Global Investor Confidence Index decreased to 70.2 in January, down 9.4 points from December’s revised reading of 79.6. This is the lowest level ever reached in the 18 years that we’ve been following this index!

As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the complete Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly, and some insight into what is going on here.

Cannabis Corner… Pot stocks generally retreated somewhat last week, after an excellent run-up since the beginning of the year. At this point the whole group may move either lower or higher based on forthcoming earnings reports for the previous quarter. This week Aurora, Tilray, Supreme Cannabis and Canopy will all be filing their financials.

SYNOPSIS

The probability that we’re in a dead-cat bounce is rapidly falling to zero. Almost everything we’re seeing suggests a full-blown resumption of the bull market after hitting that Christmas Eve low. If you want to see the best evidence of that, just have a look at the performance of cannabis companies since the beginning of the year.

Day by Day… US stocks started the week lower, but ended the week with a bigger gain than S&P/TSX Composite Index stocks.

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PTP… The gains in the S&P 500 and S&P/TSX Composite Index APARs were pretty modest compared to the PTP, which was at 264% last week. We’ve been easing into the markets again over the past several weeks with excellent results so far.

We sold one position last week. There was no sell signal, but it had remained practically unchanged for two months. We can find new positions with much better trend values than zero. In light of improving conditions we expect to be reducing our still substantial cash position ASAP.

PTA Perspective… If You Haven’t Tried Cannabis (Stocks) Yet, Now May be the Time!
We’re delaying our previously announced Q&A edition, but we could still use a few more questions. If something’s puzzling you about our PTA data, TrendWatch Weekly or the markets in general, simply use this link and express yourself. Meanwhile, cannabis stocks have taken off with a vengeance over the past month. We believe that there will be more profits to be made by discussing that now, rather than later.