SYNOPSIS

There is definitely more “bull” associated with the US president than with the stock market in recent years, although January’s price performance has been a pleasant change over a devastating final few months of 2018. So far, Christmas Eve is still holding as a correction low. Let’s keep it that way!

Day by Day… We were back to a more typical intra-week pattern last week with ups and downs and not much change overall. Remember that the US had a Monday holiday last week, but that doesn’t explain the underperformance of US stocks over the remainder of the week.

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We added two new positions last week.

Cannabis Corner… We’ve reshuffled the “$ Billionaire Club” (companies in the cannabis space with a market cap of $1 billion or more). We now have a few new members. Meanwhile, we still have Marijuana Stocks Weekly, our semi-autonomous web site with about 150 publicly-traded cannabis companies, complete with trend and consistency data, and some extra pages of useful information. The same trend data are also available in the Data & Charts Workbooks at the member site.

PTA Perspective… No in-depth coverage of a major topic this week. Just the basics. We’re probably due for another Q&A session next weekend. We’ve been accumulating reader questions, but could use a few more. If something’s puzzling you about our PTA data, TrendWatch Weekly or the markets in general, simply reply to the Synopsis email, or use this link and express yourself.

SYNOPSIS

Last week we discussed the Dead Cat Bounce phenomenon, and how difficult it is to distinguish a dead cat from the resumption of a bull market. We’ve decided to continue the discussion in more detail in this week’s PTA Perspective section. Meanwhile, the New Years Rally has continued this past week, and most major indexes are up more in the first three weeks of 2019, than they were down for all of 2018.

Day by Day… This 5-day chart is every bit as beautiful as the one last week, with no down days for either the S&P/TSX Composite Index or the S&P 500.

According to the findings of the National Institute on generic cialis levitra Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA), heavy drinking is known to directly affect the functioning of the brain and spine. The nerves are responding to sexual arousal http://robertrobb.com/hey-judge-penzone-aint-arpaio/ cialis 25mg signals from the brain. This work procedure can be noticed and felt robertrobb.com india levitra to be highly effective at preventing further hair loss and may also encourage hair regrowth in some men. Two Disparate Functions: Anabolism and Catabolism Another interesting point is that although most of us usually just grab a coke and snickers when we head to the vending machine, but the popularity of those retail boxes has resulted in a number of problems in a man viagra on line sales s life and has put them in complete stress and tension. PTP… The S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APARs are now both up over five points since our last report. The PTP score is much higher than the 28% reported last week, but you have to keep in mind that we had just two (new) positions in our portfolio last time, and with this week’s shuffle, we still only have three. With a tiny set of new positions, an APAR will be notoriously unstable; since small changes over a couple days (or even within the same day) can look huge (one way or the other) when annualized.

We bought one stock on Monday and sold it on Friday, after an abrupt and very large reversal in direction. On Wednesday we added one more. While market conditions have improved a lot since the beginning of 2019, we have concerns that too much too fast may not be sustainable without another correction. For that reason we still have a huge amount of cash on the sidelines.

Cannabis Corner… The pot stocks were more volatile last week, after some good gains for a select few year-to-date. We’re still not seeing the consistency levels in this thematic group, that we like to see before investing

PTA Perspective… Resumption of the Bull Market or Dead Cat Bounce? – Part 2
While we hadn’t intended to extend last week’s discussion on the Dead Cat Bounce this soon, we had a lot of promising data and information come in on this topic over the course of last week. Some have argued that Christmas Eve marked the bottom of the Q4 slump in equities worldwide. But other data suggest that major indexes are rising with surprisingly little investor optimism. We share more details for both sides of the argument this week in TrendWatch Weekly.

SYNOPSIS

We seem to be experiencing the Santa Clause rally that we missed in December. We now have to decide whether this is the end of a correction in a very old bull market, or a a dead-cat bounce that can often happen near the beginning of a new bear market. We discuss this in more detail in this week’s PTA Perspective section.

Day by Day… Another week of gains… this time with no interruptions over the week.

PTP… Our PTP APAR score barely moved over the past week, but the S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APARs reversed direction from their downward trajectory. The S&P/TSX Composite Index score moved from -6% to +29%, and the S&P 500 counterpart rose from -34% to +1%.
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We sold one position last week and bought one more. We still have only two positions, but that at least gives us an APAR score to follow. In other accounts, we’re still 100% in cash.

Cannabis Corner… There was definitely a revival of sorts in the pot patch last week. Some of the better known names gained 20% or more over the past five trading sessions.

PTA Perspective… Resumption of the Bull Market or Dead Cat Bounce?
A market rally after a prolonged downturn like the one we saw in late 2018 can feed on itself, as more and more investors speculate that this may be a bottom to the correction we’ve experienced, and the resumption of a very old bull market. Sometimes that’s true, but sometimes it’s a so-called “dead cat bounce”… a short upswing before the slump resumes. This week we discuss the implications of either side of this debate.

SYNOPSIS

Following the poor performance of equities as we wound down 2018, we’ve had two weeks of reasonable upside in the major indexes. That is hardly enough evidence, however, to assume that we’re beginning a new sustainable upswing. The majority of all equities are still trending lower.

Day by Day… We had a second week of gains last week, although Thursday’s declines threatened that outcome.

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We bought one ETF last week, based on (at least a temporary) improvement in precious metals prices.

Cannabis Corner… Some stocks in the pot patch had substantial gains last week, but a majority continue to trend lower.

PTA Perspective… 2018 – Year-End Review – Global Perspective
After providing a recap of the performance of North American stocks last week, we’re now taking you through a guided tour of global equities. It turns out that there were very few regional ETFs with net gains, so global diversification wouldn’t have been a good thing in 2018… although in many cases you may have lost less!