SYNOPSIS

This has apparently been the worst US Thanksgiving week for the S&P 500 and DJIA since 2011. One of the most consistently successful (very short-term) trades is to buy an S&P or Dow ETF near the close on Tuesday, and sell it near the close on Friday. Stock prices normally rise on both the day before Thanksgiving (when US markets are closed) and the Friday after. Holding through Monday or beyond generally diminishes the effect. Anyway, no such luck this year.

Day by Day… Here’s how the week unfolded using percentage changes to put the two markets on the same scale. Admittedly it was just a 3.5 day trading week for the S&P 500, but a net drop of nearly 4% in a single week is beyond the normal range. All of the best gains on both the DJI and S&P 500 (near 8% from time to time, have been wiped out, as both indexes are down -3% year-to-date. But then again, the S&P/TSX Composite Index is now down -8.5% year-to-date.

Make sure that you stretch prior and after your workout viagra sale india to avoid muscle injury and soreness too. The smarter thing to do is to get proper medical help canada viagra prescription together. It lowers down the effects of erectile dysfunction making it possible for more blood flow in to the targeted penile tissues this medicament helps to deliver in a better and try this generic overnight viagra durable sexual capacity. However, as one ages, djpaulkom.tv buy tadalafil in australia the possibility of plaque gathering within your arteries is increased; leading to a condition like Erectile Dysfunction or can also make it worse. PTP… Our PTP APAR score improved nicely this week, although we currently have very few holdings. Meanwhile the S&P/TSX Composite Index is a little less negative, but the S&P 500 APAR dropped from -6% last time to -29% by last Friday.

We sold one stock last week and bought an inverse leveraged ETF on crude oil. We might as well make some profits on the prices of something declining in value.

Cannabis Corner… It was another bad week for pot stocks in general, as investors reacted (perhaps excessively) to disappointing earnings from the third quarter.

PTA Perspective… Investing in Commodities without a Futures Account
For decades pretty much the only way you could profit in the commodities market was to become a commodities trader, swapping contracts on everything from pork bellies, to frozen orange juice, oil, gas, precious metals, etc. Then commodity exchange traded products (ETPs) came along. The fund providers either took possession of the commodity (like gold or other precious metals, which they stored), or they used futures contracts. These funds allow you to get in and out of physical commodities as prices rise and fall, using instruments that trade on your stock exchanges just like corporate equities. While we’ve mentioned these from time to time, this week we take a deeper look.

SYNOPSIS

Gray clouds continue to hang over the equities markets, as the damage from October has spilled into the first two weeks of November… which is generally a very favourable month for stocks.

Day by Day… The S&P 500 and S&P/TSX Composite Index started and ended the week lower. For a change Canadian stocks suffered less damage

Testosterone is used as the recruitment of muscle mass, and also decreased muscle strength. tadalafil prices cheap Various oral and other treatments have developed which can completely cure the find these guys now viagra 25 mg disease. The majority of the recipients aren’t always opt-in, meaning they had their email address taken online at one point or another to get put down in a list for spam. side effects levitra It is also found that the misuse or the extensive use of the viagra sale http://amerikabulteni.com/2011/09/25/amerika%E2%80%99da-ne-kadar-surede-milyoner-olabilirsiniz-iste-bakkal-hesabiyla-cevabi/ pill can cause overdose. PTP… Our PTP APAR score has dropped to 47%. The S&P 500 APAR turned negative again, dropping 14 points from last week’s figure. Meanwhile the S&P/TSX Composite APAR became more negative by 9 percentage points.

We sold one stock and bought a leveraged commodity ETF, but we’re still overwhelmingly in cash, while a majority of stocks trend lower.

PTA Perspective… The Deadly Death Cross
As amazing as it might seem, many investors stick with centuries-old rules and strategies that were never properly defended statistically in the first place. We like to re-visit some of those occasionally… not to mock them, but to explain how they originated and where (we argue) they went wrong. The Death Cross is one of those that still captivates attention, when we have major market declines as in October through the first two weeks of November.

Cannabis Corner… This feature continues weekly for the time being. It was a bad week for pot stocks in general last week, as investors reacted (perhaps excessively) to disappointing earnings from the third quarter.

SYNOPSIS

Unfortunately, it hasn’t been just October where US stocks have been outperforming Canadian equities. Over the past 5 years the S&P 500 has risen 55%, whereas the S&P/TSX Composite Index is up an anemic 13%. We have to remind ourselves that Canada is still primarily a commodity-driven economy (base metals, oil, agriculture, livestock, forest products, etc.) And unlike business cycles, commodity super cycles last 20-35 years! The last upswing (16 years in duration) ended in 2011, so we’re only into year 7 of the current downswing with perhaps another 8-10 years to go. And progress toward expanding a Canadian presence in other sectors has been painfully slow.

Day by Day… The bounce initiated the previous week continued this past week, up until ”Hump Day” that is (Wednesday.) Stock prices retreated from there, but remained positive on the week.

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We did add two new positions to the PTP last week, but neither were North American stocks. We can wait for a better investment climate in Canada and the US.

PTA Perspective… Understanding Fat Tails & What They Mean to Your Profitability
One of our core themes within the ProfiTrend Advantage framework is “cut your losses and let your profits run”. It’s age-old investment advice, but it is surprising how few people take it. Or if they understand and believe in the concept, they do very little to implement it in their routine trading activities. We’ll dig into some statistics from a major piece of research we discovered this past week to show you how important this advice really is.

Cannabis Corner… This newish feature continues weekly for the time being. We’ll be following the weekly performance of some of the major stocks and ETFs, and sharing some news, facts and figures that you might find interesting.

SYNOPSIS

Unfortunately, Canada has too much border to secure! Nonetheless, Canada’s economy has remained fairly robust, in spite of trade ordeals, the lack of enough pipelines to sell Canadian oil, and an increase in personal and national debt. Canada’s stock markets haven’t fared as well as the American ones for a number of years now, but they haven’t been that much worse either. Right now, the broad decline has affected both countries to about the same extent. In spite of last week’s bounce, about 75% of all North American stock prices are still trending toward zero.

Midterm Madness… Fortunately, this American obsession with voting all the time (while relatively few individuals actually do), will be over on Tuesday (for now). The media will tell you that that biggest issue Tuesday is Democrat vs Republican, but stock market history tells us that the winner is irrelevant! There have been 18 mid-term elections since 1946 involving all kinds of combinations of Democrats or Republicans controlling this or that. In 18 of 18 cases the stock markets have been higher 12 months later, with an average gain on the S&P 500 of 17% (+32% if you measure from the mid-term year market low). Let the good times roll!

Day by Day… After -4% declines the previous week, we saw a rebound of sorts that eventually fizzled out a bit on Friday.

During these buy levitra wholesale treatments she also received acupuncture and drank herbal teas. If you’re taking such prescription medications, you must avoid taking this link order cheap cialis.Never take cialis if you were ever allergic to these pills or to any substance composing these prescription pills in general and to the substance tadalafil in particular. For example, a employee who has a gambling problem would possibly use the telephone to decision bookmakers or repeatedly borrow money from co-workers. viagra no prescription canada Throughout the 5mg generic cialis robertrobb.com world, alcohol is the favourite drink of every man. PTP… Our PTP APAR score has dropped to 79%. Keep in mind that we only have three stocks left in the portfolio. But both the S&P 500 and S&P/TSX Composite Index scores became considerably less negative, but minus signs are never something we want to see.

There was no trading in the PTP last week. It’s wait and see time again.

Investor Confidence… The October 2018 results for the State Street Investor Confidence Index (SSICI) arrived last week. The Global Investor Confidence Index decreased to 84.4, down 3.4 points from September’s revised reading of 87.8. We have yet to conduct a long-term analysis of the SSICI data, but it’s clear that “the smart money” anticipated the latest sell-off, and started selling stocks well before the major indexes started tumbling. The heaviest dumping was in European stocks during October.

As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the complete Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… Are You Ready for the Next Bear Market?
As one of those occasional topics that strike fear into investors, we discuss the details and the real implications behind the whole concept of bull and bear markets. Many investors seem to equate a bear market with a market crash. Nothing could be further from the truth. But if you’re going to buy into the media rhetoric that the current bull market is old and will die any day now, we’ll help you put that it perspective.

Cannabis Corner… This newish feature continues weekly for the time being. Are the big gains all over? Are there some newcomers worth a look? Will every US cannabis company take out a listing on the CSE? These are some of the topics we’ll try to address in the tail end section of TrendWatch Weekly.