SYNOPSIS

It’s official! Trump has effectively put American farmers on welfare. He’s earmarked $12 billion to compensate farmers who are losing overseas business due to his trade war. This might appease some Trump supporters for part of this year’s crop losses; but there will hundreds of billions more required once 2019 comes around. Trump does not have the authority to authorize those kinds of outlays on his own. This, by the way, is almost exactly the same scenario that led to the Great Depression of the 1930s. America will never win a trade war, and the sooner Trump throws in the towel, the better… for the American economy and for investors.

Day by Day… Since we started summarizing each week’s market action in this simple chart, we’ve certainly learned that there’s no such thing as a typical week. The S&P 500 had a decent ramp up through Wednesday, before finishing with a gain of a little more than 0.5%. The S&P/TSX Composite Index, meanwhile, stayed pretty flat before dropping on Friday for a loss on the week.

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There was little trading last week in the ProfiTrend Portfolio. We dropped one holding to a sell signal. The round-trip was profitable.

PTA PERSPECTIVE… Macro Influences on the Equities Markets
While our approach here at The ProfiTrend Advantage is to focus on the present, and to optimize our buy/sell decisions as much as possible, we occasionally like to look at predictive models as well to provide a broader perspective. That’s what we’re doing this time, as we scrutinize and evaluate the early stages of an interactive tool for this purpose from MarketWatch.com. We critique the approach, the evidence, and the objectives.

SYNOPSIS

Can it get much worse? As usual we’re simply grateful that the markets aren’t collapsing over this travesty. Buying US stocks from outside the US is getting more expensive because of the rising USD, but Trump’s bold-faced attack of the American Federal Reserve is not a solution. Does he really think he can manipulate a central bank that is outside his jurisdiction as president?

Day by Day… After a decent start, S&P 500 stocks ended the week unchanged. Meanwhile, S&P/TSX Composite Index stocks ended up almost 1% to the downside.

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There was no trading last week in the ProfiTrend Portfolio.

PTA PERSPECTIVE… Stock Buybacks & Volatility
We weave an interesting plot for you this week. Massive stock buy-backs this year from major corporations are supporting the stock markets… in fact adding yields beyond dividends. And that reduces volatility in the markets. But then our seasonality guru, Brooke Thackray, is warning of increased volatility from July through early October. What to believe? We unravel it for you.

SYNOPSIS

Look no further than the UK, to see how one of “Trump America”’s “closest friends and allies” reacted to his visit this week. (Harsh language alert.)

• Trump by day
• Trump by night

Just show up look what i found cheap levitra prescription with your journal and let it flow. Before you look for online pharmacies that sell sale viagra and other ED medications. There are also new reports suggesting that thyroid too could be a cause of Erectile Dysfunction. viagra sale uk Amgesic penetrates the body online cialis sale tissue faster than any other drugs – already from 15 to 25 minutes of consumption and its effect lasts for good 4 to 6 hours. Meanwhile, investors haven’t run for the exits (yet!) Perhaps the assumption is that this insanity can’t last much longer.

Day by Day… This is probably the first time since we introduced this chart, that the two indexes moved closely in parallel, with the S&P 500 finishing the week somewhat higher than the S&P/TSX Composite Index. Both are quite acceptable one-week returns!

PTP… Our PTP APAR score rose nearly 100 points since our last weekly report. The S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APARs rose modestly. The PTP score has been above its seven-year median (106.5) for 12 consecutive weeks now.

Over the past week we sold two positions and added two new ones to the ProfiTrend Portfolio.

PTA Perspective… Profit Expectations from Equities Investments
How much should you expect your stock portfolio to gain per year? If it’s diversified like the S&P 500, 10% per year (averaged over 100 years). 10% every year? Absolutely not! You might lose half of your money one year and gain 40% the next. Complicated? Yes! But let us walk you through how you can begin to formulate realistic expectations.

SYNOPSIS

In the interest of “making America great again”, Trump continues to eliminate the jobs of his supporters by applying tariffs to products where his supporters will lose the most. It’s almost impossible to believe that he gets away with that level of stupidity, without someone telling him that he’s insane. Perhaps he’ll get some good advice from his chief advisor, Vladimir Putin, in one of their secret meetings, before the equities markets have a total breakdown.

Day by Day… With a Monday market holiday in Canada and Wednesday in the US, we finished the week on a positive note, especially among S&P 500 stocks.

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PTP… Our PTP APAR score moved upward since our last report. The S&P/TSX Composite Index and S&P 500 APAR also improved.

Over the past week we refrained from trading in the ProfiTrend Portfolio.

PTA Perspective… 2018 – Q2 Review – Global Perspective
We extend our coverage of Q1 2018 to look at the global equities markets. Is it time to pull the plug on North American stocks and look elsewhere? Probably not, but we have the details in this week’s full edition of TrendWatch Weekly.

SYNOPSIS

Happy Canada Day, Canadian members of The ProfiTrend Advantage!

Yes, we optimistically thought that Canada Day would be the official date for the legalization of recreational marijuana, but the provinces (who insisted on setting their own distribution strategies) begged for an extension to October 17… even though they had two entire years to prepare!!!

Meanwhile, no country will fail to retaliate now that Trump has declared a global trade war, and Americans will lose the most. Trump can’t seem to grasp that his tariffs are punishing his voter base, not foreign countries. Watch this video on how his tariffs on solar panels are eliminating thousands of US jobs!

Day by Day… Stocks slid mid-week, only to return to a smaller loss for the week overall.

PTP… Our PTP APAR score held steady, since our last report. The S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR slid a dozen points, while the S&P 500 score slipped into slightly negative territory.

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Over the past week we sold three positions on routine stop-loss signals and added two new ones.

Investor Confidence… The June 2018 results for the State Street Investor Confidence Index (SSICI) arrived last week. This is not an opinion poll. The SSICI is a measure of actual money flows between equities (higher numbers) and safer income securities orchestrated by institutional investors (the “smart money”). The Global Investor Confidence Index decreased to 101.7, down 2.1 points from May’s revised reading of 103.8.

As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the complete Investor Confidence section of TrendWatch Weekly.

PTA Perspective… 2018 – Q2 Review – North America
It’s hard to believe that we’re half-way through the year already, but that means it’s time for our rear-view mirror look at how 2018 has fared so far. As has been our practice lately, we’re splitting our coverage between this week’s review of Canadian and US stocks, and a subsequent look at North American equities in a global context (which you’ll see next weekend).