Summer Seasonality

SYNOPSIS

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Yes, American farmers who supported Trump will suffer, but so will many other Trump supporters. Who makes and buys Harley-Davidson motorcycles? American Trump supporters. Who’s moving operations to Europe, eliminating American jobs, because of Trump’s trade war? Harley-Davidson! And, this is just the beginning.

Day by Day… More zig-zagging last week! Canadian stocks zigged higher, while US stocks zagged lower.

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We stayed out of trading this past week.

PTA Perspective… Summer Seasonality
The data suggesting that certain classes of stocks have better price gains some times of the year than others is pretty strong, even if we wouldn’t base an investment strategy solely on that. But there’s a blanket seasonal effect that says that you’re better off out of the markets in the unfavourable six months of the year which includes the summer (specifically early May to the end of October). This week we point out a number of calendar effects that suggest that a six month vacation now will bite into your long-term profitability.