SYNOPSIS

Continuing with the high risk and (potentially) high reward topic of niche markets, we’re adding one more this time… robotics & artificial intelligence. There are lots of reasons to avoid “fad stocks”, where the companies involved have little or no profits, but high expectations. But that was said about auto stocks in the horse-and-buggy era, and again with Internet stocks in the early 90s. In the latter case there were 10 years of enormous stock price gains, before the shake-out started happening in 2000. Would you want to miss out on another one of those?

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose to to 268% from 237% a week earlier. The S&P 500 APAR gained 1 percentage point, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR added 2 points last week. In this tortoise-and-hare story, the rabbit always wins!

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Last Week in the Major Indexes… All major indexes had US Thanksgiving gains last week, except the S&P/TSX Venture Index. All trend values are still positive.

Last Week in the Sectors… Health Care (notably the S&P/TSX Health Care Index) holds the top trending position, while Information Technology stocks (US & Canada) are a solid #2. Telecommunication Services equities are at the bottom of trend rankings, but there’s a tug-of-war going on. The US Telecommunication Services companies are trending lower in a big way, while Canadian Telecommunication Services stocks are performing almost as well as Information Technology. All other sectors have positive trends between those two extremes.

PTA Perspective… Another Walk on the Wild Side: Robotics & Artificial Intelligence (AI) Companies!
We’ve been spending some of our research time on popular themes lately… first cannabis stocks, then cryptocurrency equities, and this week we add Robotics, Automation and AI (RAAI). We introduce that theme and the kinds of companies that are included under that label this week; and we’ll be working towards a comprehensive database for the Data & Charts Workbooks over the next few weeks (similar to our Marijuana Stocks workbook). There are already at least two RAAI ETFs, and we discuss those as well. They’re both outperforming the S&P 500 by a wide margin without leverage.

SYNOPSIS

Investing in cannabis stocks is our featured topic this week, since many of them have share prices as high as that horse in the cartoon. Forget about publicly-traded pot companies in the US… Canada is where all the action is!

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose to to 237% from 226% a week earlier. The S&P 500 APAR gained 2 percentage points, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR lost 6 last week.
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Last Week in the Major Indexes… There was a mixed bag of gainers and losers last week among the major indexes… with a net loss overall. However, all trend values remain positive.

Last Week in the Sectors… The two standouts are Health Care in Canada (to the upside) and Telecommunication Services in the US (to the downside). In both cases one or two stocks within a small list of companies in each is swaying the sector results. All other sectors have low, but generally positive trend values.

PTA Perspective… Canadian Cannabis Company Consolidation is Driving Stock Prices Higher!
We revisit the marijuana sub-sector once again, as we promised to do, once we found that share prices started improving in a significant way. We have some overall data to share, a few case studies, and some comments on what might lie ahead.

SYNOPSIS

Investing via chart patterns has always been an alien concept to us. It’s like tea leaf reading, or examining the entrails of a sacrificed goat. Yet this has been an investment methodology for probably a century or more. If you believe that your success in the markets is due to identifying chart patterns, we’d love to hear from you; because we think that we can identify something else that you’re doing that explains your success in a more parsimonious way.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) declined to 226% from 254% a week earlier. The S&P 500 APAR lost 9 percentage points, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR fell 6 points last week.
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Last Week in the Major Indexes… Most of the major indexes declined on a one-week basis, dragging the trend values lower. S&P/TSX Venture Index bucked the trend with a 0.6% gain over the week.

Last Week in the Sectors… There wasn’t much rotation among the sector rankings relative to last week. The notable exception is a strong boost in Health Care within the S&P/TSX Composite Index.

PTA Perspective… The Coming Boom in Cryptocurrency-Related Stocks?
In spite of huge volatility, the price of Bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies keep climbing exponentially. Yet many investors (like us) in the general equities space are unwilling to participate, since cryptocurrency is a complicated concept, and we understand stocks and ETFs much better. Besides, we’d have to open another account with a cryptocurrency dealer that we know nothing about. This week we explore a few opportunities, where you might profit from the cryptocurrency craze by buying common shares in a cryptocurrency-related company with a typical stock listing.

SYNOPSIS

Investing in stocks can certainly feel like online dating at times. You tend to keep it a secret, until you’ve had some success; and even then, you don’t want to brag about it, until you’ve had a lot of success. You probably want to diversify a bit, for the sake of variety; and, after all, not every dating (or stock buying) experience is going to be a winner. And, the most fundamental rule of all… don’t fall in love with either one! It clouds your judgement, and throws a wrench into your long-term profitability!

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) improved big time to 254% from 175% a week earlier. The S&P 500 APAR lost 7 points, while the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR gained 3 percentage points last week.

Last Week in the Major Indexes… There weren’t any one-week losers among the major indexes that we follow this past week. US indexes continue to trend higher faster than the Canadian ones.
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Last Week in the Sectors… Energy displaced Information Technology as the best trending sector. Consumer Staples, Consumer Discretionary and Telecommunication Services are all trending lower in the US, while their Canadian counterparts are trending upward.

PTA Perspective… ’Tis the Season for Seasonal Stocks
It’s time to revisit the calendar effects. We lay out the best performing sectors and niches for the best three months of the year for most major indexes (based on historical averages)… November, December and January. Get ready for good times ahead, if history repeats itself.

Investor Confidence… The October results for the State Street Investor Confidence Index have just been posted this week. The small dip was mainly due to a large decline in confidence in North American equities.

As usual we provide more detail on the regional ICI’s in the full edition of TrendWatch Weekly.