SYNOPSIS

As August rolls into September, there is a feeling in the air that fall may be coming soon… which is true by the calendar, but not always by the weather. So this week, our coverage leans toward seasonality in trading. August is always a low volume month with people enjoying the end of summer before kids head back to school, and summer work hours (for those who have them) come to an end. It’s time to get back to heavy duty investing again!

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) revived from 3% a week ago to 32% now. The S&P 500 APAR and the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR improved also to 9% and 14% respectively from near zero levels a week before.

Last Week in the Major Indexes… Most of the major North American indexes that we track rose quite a bit last week… several by 2.5%+.
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Last Week in the Sectors… There was definitely some sector rotation happening last week, as Utilities lost it’s spot at the top of the trend rankings. We now have Information Technology, Health Care and Materials in the lead. Not in a big way yet, but a definite improvement.

Featured Chart… Seasonality Effects Heading into Fall 2017
This week we’re once again updating our coverage of the best calendar effects to keep in mind for the next six weeks or so.

These are just three of them… 13 more in the full edition of TrendWatch Weekly. While our buy/sell decisions are still primarily based on the current results from our relative trend analysis™ (RTA) methodology, we continue to believe that seasonal patterns can be relevant to keep trend data in a broader historical context.