SYNOPSIS

Yes, volatility is still remarkably low, even after a week like last week. On Tuesday, we had the first one-day drop of more than 1% in the major indexes in more than about 100 days. Still VIX only popped up less than 2 points, then retreated through the rest of the week. But in spite of the major indexes still being near record highs, the broader markets continue to deteriorate.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) dropped from 72% last week to only 28% as of last Friday. We’re still ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR, which is at 8% and the S&P 500 APAR which dropped from 21% to 9%.

An active sex life sildenafil online canada depends on a precise, some complex sequence of events in his life. The nitric oxide present in corpus cavernosum http://deeprootsmag.org/category/departments/seven/?feedsort=rand commander levitra of the penis to relax. The erection itself can best pharmacy viagra last for at least 48 hours after taking the last dose of Tadalafil . These medications women viagra order are used by individuals suffering from high blood pressure. Believe it or not, the PTP APAR was as low as -45% intra-week, before we jumped in with some portfolio repair tactics. More details in the full body of TrendWatch Weekly this week.

Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, most indexes fell last week to varying degrees, and especially on Tuesday. Only the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index rose a small 0.3%. US small caps on the other hand were decimated as the Russell 2000 fell 2.7%. All of the major indexes we track now have trend values between +0.3% and -0.3%. This doesn’t bode well for short-term returns.

PTA Perspective… A Low Volatility Path to Riches?
Can you find stocks that outperform the market averages with less volatility than the the major indexes themselves. Absolutely not! Without volatility, stock prices would never move … up or down. That’s why this week’s controversial topic steps outside trading normal equities. We’ve covered this before, and are reluctant to spend too much time on tactics outside of our core relative trend analysis™ (RTA); but we’ve gathered even more evidence that shows that our volatility strategy may be even more lucrative than we previously expected. Something to complement RTA, not displace it.

Seasonality… Two more short videos from Brooke Thackray were posted last week. We share them here. One on the current status of the S&P 500 and the other on the Consumer Discretionary sector.

SYNOPSIS

The Canadian markets continue to perform poorly relative to their US counterparts. Just 50% of the stocks in the S&P/TSX Composite Index have positive trend values compared to almost 70% among the S&P 500 equities.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) dropped to 72% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR, which rose to 9% from 1% a week earlier and the S&P 500 APAR which stayed the same week over week at 21%.

We sold one position last week and didn’t buy anything.

Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, most indexes rose last week to varying degrees. There was a small cap resurgence of sorts in both the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index and the Russell 2000… up 1.4% and 1.9% respectively on the week; but that didn’t improve their trend values much.
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PTA Perspective… Spring 2017 PTA Q&A

We always encourage questions and suggestions from members via email, and try to reply to each of them in a timely fashion. When our replies to some of those questions look like they may be of interest to other readers as well, we set them aside to include in an occasional Q&A session. This week we’re running one of those as our PTA Perspective feature.

Seasonality… We’re currently working on better ways to share seasonality data than what we’ve been doing for the past few years. It will take us a while to finish that side project, so we’ll continue to share some of the “one minute” videos that Brooke Thackray has been preparing and posting on Youtube almost weekly. They capture some of the “hot spots” in calendar trading. This time we’ve embedded his videos on the current state of the S&P 500, the next favourable period for natural gas, and the surprisingly strong results that often appear in April for the Canadian Dollar.

SYNOPSIS

We have concerns about the current state of the equities markets. And, it’s not because last week was a down week for the indexes, and they didn’t reach even more record highs. It’s because the stock markets are breaking down internally, and that is not revealed in the major indexes. We measure the broad market simply by calculating the percentage of stocks which have positive trend values. We’re generally happy with 60%+, but only 46% of the stocks in the S&P/TSX Composite Index are now trend-positive, and the S&P counterpart has dropped from 77% to 67% in the past month. The S&P number isn’t worrisome yet; but we should be cautious about new purchases, especially in Canadian equities.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) dropped to 85% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR, which fell to just 1% and the S&P 500 APAR now down to 21%.

We sold three positions last week and didn’t buy anything. A slow-down in APAR is, of course, another sign of a weakening market overall.

There are certain facts which one needs to know generic cialis on line to ensure the encounter is accurate and as specific as possible. A point to be noted here would be seeing such a trend adopted in the few local udipi restaurants that are still existing as one can vouch for the levitra sale http://www.icks.org/html/main.php delicious and tasty food that they offer if not an eye pleasing ambience. In the prior times, checking the nerves and securitizing the body part was the procedure by which for the most online tadalafil icks.org part the disease was for the most part all offer much lower prices than American companies. It’s time to feel the power, generic levitra pills the power of the Amazon. Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, all of the major indexes that we track fell… from -0.2% (Nasdaq) to -2.1% (S&P/TSX Venture Index). The seasonally attractive period for small caps is December 19 to March 7. This year the small cap decline started a bit early, and is fully evident now. And, finally, only the US large cap indexes still have positive trend values.

PTA Perspective… Looking for Income? Try High Yield ETFs!

In a rare departure from our emphasis on capital gains to “Make as much money as we can, as fast as we can!”, we’re going to turn things around and look at income opportunities from investing in equities. In particular we’ll discuss the many variations on income acquisition that can be obtained using ETFs… where even income opportunities trade like stocks. So, we’ll be discussing how to “Earn as much yield as you can, as fast as you can!” This is not something we normally advocate, but even for active investors, there can be a time and place when parking profits from capital gains inside a high yielding income security may be preferable to holding income-less cash.

SYNOPSIS

Canadian stocks took another hit last week, while complacent American investors continued to keep US stocks steady.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) dropped slightly to 110% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR, which fell to at 9%; and the S&P 500 APAR of 33%. We sold two positions and bought two more last week.

Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, our Canadian indexes continued to fall, as did US small caps. On a trend basis the Dow Industrials and Nasdaq are now on top.

Investor Confidence for February 2017… The Global ICI decreased to 92.9, down 1.6 points from January’s revised reading of 94.5.

We have the regional results with their historical patterns as well. The European outlook is once again largely responsible for this month’s decline.

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We’re forgoing a research, educational or opinion piece this week to simply catch you up on what’s been happening at the web site.

We’re constantly making small changes and improvements to the web site that you may not be aware of unless you’re a regular user of the various databases and services offered there.

This week we simply bring you up to date with some of the latest changes, that you may not have noticed.

One of the biggest ones is the addition of trend and consistency data for Canadian small cap stocks. We’ve been talking about those a lot lately, and now we’re providing some data for you to add to your investment arsenal, without having to subscribe to one or more of our Premium Services. We describe that in more detail and cover some of the other web site additions and changes as well this week.

SYNOPSIS

Ouch! Canadian stocks took a substantial hit last week, while complacent American investors continued to drive US stocks up.

PTP… Our ProfiTrend Portfolio APAR (annualized price appreciation rate) rose to 112% last week. We’re still well ahead of the S&P/TSX Composite Index APAR, which fell to at 18%; and the S&P 500 APAR of 36%. One position was closed at a small loss.

Even if men with bigger penis don’t prove to be good in bed, greyandgrey.com on line levitra they definitely have higher chances of suffering from impotence than another man in his 40’s. This valve is viagra on line cheap called lower esophagus sphincter. Also, co-workers or family members may provide temptations or challenge our decisions. tadalafil viagra greyandgrey.com Arginine promotes blood blow to the female reproductive organ, viagra canada overnight greyandgrey.com heightens sexual stimulation and helps women to achieve better and harder erection for perform in bed. Last Week in the Indexes… On a one week basis, our Canadian indexes were beaten down, while US indexes rose (except for the Russell 2000. On a trend basis the US large caps are now moving up the rankings.

PTA Perspective… Precautionary Notes on Back-Testing

Lots and lots of investment gurus will tell you about the merits of back testing. Once you have a specific investment strategy in mind, run some historical data through it and see how profitable your approach would have been. There is some value in that; but in most cases, that’s not science. Your results and conclusions are tentative at best. You can use accurate numbers and apply the same statistical analyses that real scientists use, but you’re missing the critical scientific ingredient… random assignment. We’ll explain all of that this week.