SYNOPSIS

Last Week… Almost everything is wrong right now in terms of the seasonal perspective on stock investing. December is normally a great month for equities. All the major indexes fell 3% to over 4% last week, dragging all trend values to the negative side.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our recently re-invented ProfiTrend Portfolio (PTP) is holding up well given the adverse circumstances. The 84% reading this week is down from 95% last week, but you can see how the major indexes are tanking.

Meanwhile, we’re still sharing our 4 year average profile for both PTP and our benchmarks.

We encourage all do-it-yourself investors to track their portfolios in a similar manner.
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PTA Perspective… US vs Canadian Stocks: The Choice is Clear!
We’ve certainly mentioned from time to time that US equities are a better bet than Canadian securities in the past few years. This is due to the issue that Canada’s economy is not a scaled-down version of what’s happening in the US. This week we expand on this with some more charts and commentary. We don’t have much motivation to invest in stocks at all right now (especially after last week), but we’ll leave you with some thoughts on how and when to jump back in. When you do so, it should probably be on the US side of the border.

In the News this Week… Closet Indexers
We’ve decided to occasionally feature a prominent news item from the previous week, if we feel it deserves consideration and comment. This week we bring your attention to another way the mutual fund industry is gouging their customers… closet indexing. This despicable practice is apparently legal, and the Canadian mutual fund industry is apparently the biggest offender worldwide. If you still have any portion of your investment capital in mutual funds, you’ll want to read this.

Investor Confidence & Seasonality… Nothing new to report this week. We’ll set you up for potential calendar effects in January next week; and the latest ICI numbers won’t be available until December 29.