SYNOPSIS
The markets were generally up last week except for the small caps. They went the other direction.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio is now to +124%.
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Smart Money… The State Street Investor Confidence Index results for April are now available. The Global ICI decreased to 114.3, down 2.3 points from March’s revised reading of 116.6. Confidence among North American investors decreased with the North American ICI falling 6.9 points to 122.1, down from March’s revised reading of 129.1. Meanwhile, the European ICI rose by 5.4 points to 109.7 while the Asia ICI rose 2.4 points to 91.5.

Topic of the Week… Depository Receipts: Another Security Type That Might Be Right for Your Portfolio

There are quite a number of “equities” traded on major and minor exchanges that don’t have much resemblance to common shares of a company. This week we review American Depositary Receipts (ADRs or just DRs). These are artificially constructed shares in companies whose operations and standard listing are outside of the US. Be sure to check it out!

SYNOPSIS
The markets were a mixed bag of gainers and losers last week. The small cap indexes that we track were up, while the mainstream indexes that we track retreated on a one week basis. Most index trend values remain positive.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio declined a bit to +107%. (117% the previous week.)

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Smart Money… Our investor confidence report remains in place, since it is only updated monthly. The Global ICI increased to 120.1 in March, up 15.1 points from February’s revised reading of 105.0. Confidence among North American investors increased the most, with the North American ICI rising 30.0 points to 135.4, up from February’s revised reading of 105.4. However, the European ICI fell by 1.6 points to 104.4 while the Asia ICI fell 4.0 points to 90.3.

Featured video… We have a new video for you this week on a more general topic… Is Capitalism Broken? Self-made billionaire, Paul Tudor Jones II, manages a hedge fund, also worth billions in assets. He explains that the capitalism that brought him his riches has also done severe damage to socio-economic conditions. He makes a case for drastic change before American society totally collapses. It’s worth a view.

Topic of the Week… Sell in May & Go Away Revisited
Every year about this time, there is print and TV coverage of one of the most talked about seasonality effects, often called Sell in May & Go Away. The stats accumulated over a half-century are impressive. Returns from being fully invested in stocks only during May through October are practically nonexistent compared to returns from being invested in the alternative six months. We’ve been systematically debunking this phenomenon over the past few years through various research exercises. We’ve added new data again this time around. The conclusion remains the same. Using “Sell in May” as a strategy is foolish.

The Biggest Winner Game… Last week our topic was using stock simulators as learning tools. As part of that we introduced a public trading game (now underway). You trade with $100,000 in virtual money, but the $13,000 in cash prizes are very real. We report on how things are progressing after the first week. Hint: There are a lot of day traders out there!

SYNOPSIS
The markets were back to the upside last week, with all indexes experiencing gains of +1.7% to +2.6%. The gains were large enough to bring all trend values to the positive side of the continuum with the S&P/TSX Composite Index leading the rest by a nose.

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Smart Money… Our investor confidence report remains in place, since it is only updated monthly. The Global ICI increased to 120.1 in March, up 15.1 points from February’s revised reading of 105.0. Confidence among North American investors increased the most, with the North American ICI rising 30.0 points to 135.4, up from February’s revised reading of 105.4. However, the European ICI fell by 1.6 points to 104.4 while the Asia ICI fell 4.0 points to 90.3.

Topic of the Week… Hey, Let’s Play! Simulated Trading for Fun & Learning! ($13,000 to be won over the next 6 weeks)
The topic this week is the pros and cons of using trading simulation games to improve your trading skills. Some of the games available are quite realistic in terms of closely matching real-life trading. But since they are simulations, no real money is required. To make this more interesting we also introduce you to a trading competition with real prizes for the most profitable traders. The domain is strictly Canadian ETFs, but as you know, they trade just like stocks. With a grand prize of $7500, 2nd prize of $2500 and numerous weekly prizes, it just might be worth playing along. For this 6-week exercise we’re making much more ETF data available to regular members. You’ll find the details later in this edition of TrendWatch Weekly. The competition starts April 13, so you should sign up now!

SYNOPSIS
The markets were back to the upside last week, with the S&P/TSX Composite Index leading the pack on a one-week price gain basis. That was enough to make it the best trend-performer too. Nasdaq actually turned south with a small one-week decline for a change.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… The annualized growth rate for the ProfiTrend Portfolio increased to +82%, up from 51% the previous week.

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Smart Money… In what appears to be the largest one month gain in the history if the SSICI, institutional investors (the so-called “smart money”) became more bullish on equities during March. The Global ICI increased to 120.1, up 15.1 points from February’s revised reading of 105.0. Confidence among North American investors increased the most, with the North American ICI rising 30.0 points to 135.4, up from February’s revised reading of 105.4. However, the European ICI fell by 1.6 points to 104.4 while the Asia ICI fell 4.0 points to 90.3.

Topic of the Week… Quarterly Review – Q1 2015 – Part 2: Global Markets
Our report last week focussed on the North American markets, although we did put them in the context of the S&P 1200 Global Market Index. This week we break down the “global” part into which countries and regions performed best. Hint: Most regions worldwide outperformed Canada and the US.