SYNOPSIS
The markets were mainly to the downside last week, with Nasdaq being the sole exception among the major indexes that we report on. On a trend basis US stocks are beginning to be favoured again after an extensive period where Canadian stocks outperformed.

ProfiTrend Portfolio… Our annualized growth rate has declined to 58%, which is still well ahead of the comparable stats for the S&P 500 (7%) and the S&P/TSX Composite Index (10%). Our week-over-week decline comes from a fairly active trading week… four positions were sold and five new ones were added. That’s a lot of one-week churn in a portfolio that has averaged 10-15 stocks in recent months. It will take time for the new acquisitions to pump up overall PTP performance.

Investor Confidence… The latest State Street Investor Confidence data are also reported for the month of April 2014. The “smart money” continues to avoid geopolitical issues, as the media-creatived “crises” that many of them are. They recognize that riskier equities are still a better place to be than bonds and other “risk-free” assets.
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Topic of the Week… Recessions & Stock Markets… Myths & Realities
This week we run the risk of offending more advanced investors with a discussion of economic conditions and stock market prices. Those on top of this topic may skip the discussion below; but the truth of the matter is that most people still have the misguided belief that it’s insane to invest in stocks during a recession. Or, that stocks have no where to go but up in positive economic times. Within rounding error, both of these beliefs are 100% wrong! So, why are these notions so widely held? Because the Biz media spread these beliefs extensively, day after day, year after year.

We’ll show you what the real evidence is, and what you should do about it.