SYNOPSIS
Following the spectacular results of the week earlier, we couldn’t have expected a whole lot more of the same, and we didn’t. There were one week declines (mainly in the US), with Nasdaq gaining a little. Canadian small caps are on a roll, fuelled to a large extent by precious metal stocks.

Trading Activity… We sold one stock in the ProfiTrend Portfolio last week and 25% of another position (we couldn’t get a full sale by the closing bell Friday). We also put some of our large cash position back to work by adding 5 new stocks (4 Canadian, 1 US ETN). The annualized growth rate for the PTP is now 99%, up from 45% last week. That compares with AGRs of 20% for the S&P 500 and 31% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index companies. Our simple but effective “Speedo Chart” continues to be one of the best tools we’ve ever devised for portfolio management and tracking. It provides incentive to stay ahead of the benchmarks and makes selling losing positions feel really good!

Topic of the Week… Gold Rush! Here to Stay for a While? The media have been working for months now on all the reasons that gold and gold stocks have done so poorly for so long. Now they can’t come up with any reasons why bullion and the companies that take it out of the ground are suddenly doing so well… without making themselves look like total fools (a reasonable conclusion!) We’ll try to unravel what’s going on as our topic of the week. We’ll let you decide whether you think we’re on the right track or not.
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Video of the Week… More on marijuana! You won’t believe how big this market is set to become according to the venture capitalist in this interview. He has spent four years investigating what’s happening world-wide in order to be ready to invest in the cannabis companies that show the most promise.

State Street Investor Confidence Index… The latest data for February are included. After the huge jump in “smart money” investing in stocks in January, there was follow through around the globe in February. Apparently, those managing multi-billion dollar accounts ignore the media as much as we do!

SYNOPSIS
Last week we had a really nice extension of the one week gains a week earlier, resulting in 2-4% gains for the major indexes that we report.

Trading Activity… We sold 1 position in the ProfiTrend Portfolio this past week, but are actively looking for opportunities to invest a currently over-sized cash position. The annualized growth rate for the PTP is now 45%, compared to 22% for the S&P 500 and 29% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index companies. This falls short of the customary lead of the PTP over our benchmarks, but we’ve only held our current (smaller set of) holdings for an average of 4 weeks!

Topic of the Week… Niche Investing: The Dope on Dope!
Warning: You may find that this week’s topic gives you the munchies. Have some snacks nearby!
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We have at least a few followers here who like to play super low-priced stocks that have no earnings now (or perhaps ever). More often than not these are different from other “loser small caps”, because their business is in a niche area that may one day develop into something big. We think a perfect example of this to kick-off a discussion on niche investing is the legalization of marijuana. Believe it or not, here are already publicly traded companies in this “blossoming” business out there with no earnings and questionable prospects. But that doesn’t mean that will always be the case.

The point is that niche investing logically can’t rely on traditional fundamental analysis, and the technical analytics have serious drawbacks too, as you’ll see below. This is a leap of faith way to invest, that we don’t recommend to most investors; but let’s talk about it anyway. More below.

State Street Investor Confidence Index… The latest data for the month of January are included. The results are showing that the “smart money” is pouring into stocks like crazy! Biggest jump in the index in four years!

SYNOPSIS
Last week was a reversal of the previous one, with one week improvements among all the major indexes that we report.

Trading Activity… We sold 3 positions in the ProfiTrend Portfolio last week. The annualized growth rate for the PTP is now 76%, compared to 147% the previous week. Yes, a big drop, but the good news is that we sold a very large position with a 281% profit! More on that below, but our current 76% still compares favourably with -2% for the S&P 500 and +17% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index companies. With our long time winner out of the race, it’s not surprising that the average of our remaining contenders will drop, especially since we’ve only held them for an average of 3 weeks!

Topic of the Week… Are You Working Your Investment Accounts to the Max?
Although money management and investing are obviously related, they also have some pronounced differences. Furthermore, one can be very good at one or the other, but not necessarily at both. This week we want to step aside from investing per se and review the ins and outs of the accounts you use to manage your money. Recent studies show that many investors may do well at trading stocks, but don’t really understand the full opportunities available to them in the different kinds of accounts they have set up.

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With apologies to those who are already well-informed on these matters, this week’s discussion is intended for the majority (according to the surveys) who clearly are being misinformed or at least ill-informed by their financial institutions about the options available in the accounts they’ll set up for you.

Seasonality… We repeat the most common calendar effects that you might expect in February in text format, and include two videos from Brooke Thackray, our typical source for calendar effects. Lately Thackray has been putting his thoughts out monthly on YouTube… one video on the markets in general, and one on sectors. Check them out and see if you agree with his opinions.

State Street Investor Confidence Index… The latest data for the month of January are included. The results are showing that the “smart money” is pouring into stocks like crazy! Biggest jump in the index in four years!

SYNOPSIS
Another negative week across the board, but not enough to turn Canadian trends for the major indexes negative. S&P 500 and DJI stocks continue to trend lower.

Trading Activity… There were 5 trades in the ProfiTrend Portfolio last week… 2 buys, 3 sells. The annualized growth rate for the PTP is now 147%, compared to -12% for the S&P 500 and +9% for the S&P/TSX Composite Index companies.

Topic of the Week… The Vicissitudes of Volume
With our primary focus on stock and index price trends, we haven’t talked about trading volume much over the past five or six years. Now is probably a good time to discuss this topic in more detail. There are a number of ways to factor trading volume into your investment strategies, and we’ll walk you through some of them.
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Seasonality… We summarize the most common calendar effects that you might expect in February.

State Street Investor Confidence Index… The latest data for the month of January are included, and the results are almost unbelievable! The “smart money” is pouring into stocks like crazy! Biggest jump in the index in four years!

Alternative Views on Video… We’ve added a new feature that involves short interviews with well-known investors and traders. The general idea is to keep an open mind about alternative opinions and investment techniques. This week we feature Jeremy Siegel on where US stocks are going in 2014.